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Re: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
--------------090600030109070305070809
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Owen Byrne wrote:
> R. A. Hettinga wrote:
>
>> -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
>> Hash: SHA1
>>
>> At 10:32 AM -0400 on 9/21/02, Gary Lawrence Murphy wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>> Cool --- I wasn't aware that the US had lifted it's population out
>>> of poverty! When did this happen? I wonder where the media gets the
>>> idea that the wealth gap is widening and deepening...
>>>
>>
>>
>> All the world loves a smartass...
>>
>> :-).
>>
>> Seriously. Look at he life expectancy and human carrying capacity of
>> this continent before the Europeans got here. Look at it now. Even
>> for descendants of the original inhabitants. Even for the descendents
>> of slaves, who were brought here by force.
>>
>> More stuff, cheaper. That's progress.
>>
>> Poverty, of course, is not relative. It's absolute. Disparity in
>> wealth has nothing to do with it.
>>
>> It's like saying that groups have rights, when, in truth, only
>> individuals do. Like group rights, "disparity" in wealth is
>> statistical sophistry.
>>
>>
>> Besides, even if you can't help the distribution, industrial wealth
>> is almost always transitory, and so is relative poverty, even when
>> there are no confiscatory death-taxes. The 20th anniversary Forbes
>> 400 just came out, and only a few tens of people are still there
>> since 1982, a time which had significantly higher marginal taxes on
>> wealth, income, and inheritance than we do now. More to the point,
>> they're nowhere near the top.
>>
>>
Lovely quote from the Forbes 400 list:
"and not a single Astor, Vanderbilt or Morgan rates a mention on the
current Forbes Four Hundred. "
But you have to studiously ignore the 4 Rockefellers, 3 Gettys, 3
Hearsts, Fords, Kelloggs, Wrigleys,
and so on.
There are more self-made people on the list than I previously alluded to
- I made a mistake. Most
of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League dropouts,
suggesting to me that they weren't
exactly poor to start with. Some of them have lovely self-made stories
like:
#347, Johnston, Summerfield K Jr
track this personTrack This Person
<http://www.forbes.com/peopletracker/add_person.jhtml?successURL=%2Fpeopletracker%2Fprotected%2Frich_tracker.jhtml&errorURL=%2Fpeopletracker%2Ferror.jhtml&personId=221899>
| See all Bacon Makers
<http://www.forbes.com/lists/results.jhtml?passListId=54&passYear=2002&passListType=Person&resultsStart=1&resultsHowMany=25&resultsSortProperties=%2Bnumberfield1%2C%2Bstringfield1&resultsSortCategoryName=rank&searchParameter1=10Str%7C%7CPatCS%7C%7CBacon+Makers&category1=Magazine+Section&category2=category&searchParameter2=unset>
70 , self made
*Source: Food
<http://www.forbes.com/lists/results.jhtml?passListId=54&passYear=2002&passListType=Person&resultsStart=1&resultsHowMany=25&resultsSortProperties=%2Bnumberfield1%2C%2Bstringfield1&resultsSortCategoryName=rank&searchParameter1=5Str%7C%7CPatCS%7C%7CFood&category1=Industry>,
Coca-Cola* (quote
<http://www.forbes.com/finance/mktguideapps/compinfo/CompanyTearsheet.jhtml?tkr=CCE>,
executives
<http://www.forbes.com/peopletracker/results.jhtml?startRow=0&name=&ticker=CCE>,
news <http://markets2.forbes.com/rpt/Company_News.asp?Symbol=CCE>)
Net Worth: *$680 mil* returnee
Hometown: Chattanooga , TN
*Marital Status:* married , 5 children
Grandfather James and partner landed first Coca-Cola bottling franchise
in 1899. Company passed down 3 generations to Summerfield 1950s. Became
largest independent Coke bottler. Merged with Coca-Cola Enterprises 1991.
<javascript:openMap('pol');> <javascript:openMap('dist');>
(...by a compensation committee)
Owen
--------------090600030109070305070809--
| 0 |
Re: flavor cystals
"Oh my Janitor, boom, boom, boom."
The best place for new music is right where it's
always been. College radio. UCI, UCSD,USD, Claremont(?)'s
KSPC, UCLA, Cal Fullerton, Cal LA, Cal Pomona.
Greg
Joseph S. Barrera III wrote:
> Can anyone stop talking politics long enough to let me know that,
> yes, indeed, they do remember the Suburban Lawns?
>
> Better yet, tell me where I should be listening for new music now that
> P2P is dead and I still can't pick up KFJC very well.
>
> - Joe
>
| 0 |
Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g)
reminds me of Cheney during the VP debates, when he declared his wealth was
not the product of government favors.
http://www.ibiblio.org/pub/academic/communications/logs/Gulf-War/desert-stor
m/07
(good time to refresh our memories re iraq . . .)
starting a debate on govt. contracts,
gg
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]On Behalf Of Owen
Byrne
Sent: Sunday, September 22, 2002 11:04 AM
To: Owen Byrne
Cc: Gary Lawrence Murphy; Mr. FoRK; [email protected]; Digital Bearer
Settlement List
Subject: Re: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
Owen Byrne wrote:
> R. A. Hettinga wrote:
>
>> -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
>> Hash: SHA1
>>
>> At 10:32 AM -0400 on 9/21/02, Gary Lawrence Murphy wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>> Cool --- I wasn't aware that the US had lifted it's population out
>>> of poverty! When did this happen? I wonder where the media gets the
>>> idea that the wealth gap is widening and deepening...
>>>
>>
>>
>> All the world loves a smartass...
>>
>> :-).
>>
>> Seriously. Look at he life expectancy and human carrying capacity of
>> this continent before the Europeans got here. Look at it now. Even
>> for descendants of the original inhabitants. Even for the descendents
>> of slaves, who were brought here by force.
>>
>> More stuff, cheaper. That's progress.
>>
>> Poverty, of course, is not relative. It's absolute. Disparity in
>> wealth has nothing to do with it.
>>
>> It's like saying that groups have rights, when, in truth, only
>> individuals do. Like group rights, "disparity" in wealth is
>> statistical sophistry.
>>
>>
>> Besides, even if you can't help the distribution, industrial wealth
>> is almost always transitory, and so is relative poverty, even when
>> there are no confiscatory death-taxes. The 20th anniversary Forbes
>> 400 just came out, and only a few tens of people are still there
>> since 1982, a time which had significantly higher marginal taxes on
>> wealth, income, and inheritance than we do now. More to the point,
>> they're nowhere near the top.
>>
>>
Lovely quote from the Forbes 400 list:
"and not a single Astor, Vanderbilt or Morgan rates a mention on the
current Forbes Four Hundred. "
But you have to studiously ignore the 4 Rockefellers, 3 Gettys, 3
Hearsts, Fords, Kelloggs, Wrigleys,
and so on.
There are more self-made people on the list than I previously alluded to
- I made a mistake. Most
of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League dropouts,
suggesting to me that they weren't
exactly poor to start with. Some of them have lovely self-made stories
like:
#347, Johnston, Summerfield K Jr
track this personTrack This Person
<http://www.forbes.com/peopletracker/add_person.jhtml?successURL=%2Fpeopletr
acker%2Fprotected%2Frich_tracker.jhtml&errorURL=%2Fpeopletracker%2Ferror.jht
ml&personId=221899>
| See all Bacon Makers
<http://www.forbes.com/lists/results.jhtml?passListId=54&passYear=2002&passL
istType=Person&resultsStart=1&resultsHowMany=25&resultsSortProperties=%2Bnum
berfield1%2C%2Bstringfield1&resultsSortCategoryName=rank&searchParameter1=10
Str%7C%7CPatCS%7C%7CBacon+Makers&category1=Magazine+Section&category2=catego
ry&searchParameter2=unset>
70 , self made
*Source: Food
<http://www.forbes.com/lists/results.jhtml?passListId=54&passYear=2002&passL
istType=Person&resultsStart=1&resultsHowMany=25&resultsSortProperties=%2Bnum
berfield1%2C%2Bstringfield1&resultsSortCategoryName=rank&searchParameter1=5S
tr%7C%7CPatCS%7C%7CFood&category1=Industry>,
Coca-Cola* (quote
<http://www.forbes.com/finance/mktguideapps/compinfo/CompanyTearsheet.jhtml?
tkr=CCE>,
executives
<http://www.forbes.com/peopletracker/results.jhtml?startRow=0&name=&ticker=C
CE>,
news <http://markets2.forbes.com/rpt/Company_News.asp?Symbol=CCE>)
Net Worth: *$680 mil* returnee
Hometown: Chattanooga , TN
*Marital Status:* married , 5 children
Grandfather James and partner landed first Coca-Cola bottling franchise
in 1899. Company passed down 3 generations to Summerfield 1950s. Became
largest independent Coke bottler. Merged with Coca-Cola Enterprises 1991.
<javascript:openMap('pol');> <javascript:openMap('dist');>
(...by a compensation committee)
Owen
| 0 |
dubyadubyadubya.dubyaspeak.com
A worthy study procrastination tool: )
A few choice phrases from ol dubya himself:
"And all our history says we believe in liberty and justice for all,
that when we see oppression, we cry."
"If you want to keep the peace, you've got to have the authorization to use force.
-- White House, Sep. 19, 2002"
"The United States will remain strong in our conviction that we must not, and will not,
allow the world's worst leaders to hold the United States and our friends and allies blackmail,
or threaten us with the world's worst weapons." -- Whats truly sad
about the "United States and our friends and allies /blackmail/, is
that he said the same thing in the SAME speech in a paragraph or two
before.
"If you find a neighbor in need, you're responsible for serving that neighbor in need,
you're responsible for loving a neighbor just like you'd like to
love yourself."
-- Snerk. This just begs for potty-mouth comedy. Too bad the kids
on southpark just aren't that political.
"I want to send the signal to our enemy that you have aroused a compassionate and decent and mighty nation, and we're going to hunt you down.
-- No, I didn't make this one up. Louisville, Kentucky, Sep. 5, 2002
Hee.. Mkay.
http://www.dubyaspeak.com
--
Best regards,
bitbitch mailto:[email protected]
| 0 |
Re: flavor cystals
On Saturday, September 21, 2002, at 10:59 PM, Joseph S. Barrera III
wrote:
> Better yet, tell me where I should be listening for new music now that
> P2P is dead and I still can't pick up KFJC very well.
KFJC has a MP3 stream at kfjc.org. I'd also recommend radioparadise.com.
I remember the Suburban Lawns, but I don't know what became of them.
Apropos of nothing: "Spirited Away" is amazing. Go see it now.
-- whump
| 0 |
Colonial Script ...
Oh, they were plenty upset about the tea taxes.
But the crack down on colonial script certainly screwed over the
American Colonies. And, BTW, England as well.
Dear Ben Franklin was right for the wrong reasons. First of all the
colonies were not prosperous compared to England proper. Second, the
issuance of colonial script had nothing to do with full employeement.
(In fact, it is almost inconceivable he would make that claim. It
sounds like a modern Keynsian was creating an urban legend.)
OTOH the lack of sufficient circulating monetary instruments was
economically crippling. Imagine trying to buy your supplies by offering
IOUs on your own name -- and then trying to market / exchange the paper
as the merchant who took the IOU.
===========================
The most common problem in the world is when a government prints too
much money. The effects are a complete disaster. There are a lot of
incentives that push governments into doing this even though it is
incredibly stupid.
So almost all the literature talks about that.
But you can ALSO screw an economy over by taking all the money out of
circulation. The fundamental cause of the American Great Depression was
exactly this, courtesy of the Federal Reserve Board.
I don't think shifting the power to print money to the bank of Canada
had much effect. And Canada is still a prosperous country.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Gary
> Lawrence Murphy
> Sent: Saturday, September 21, 2002 7:31 AM
> To: Mr. FoRK
> Cc: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
>
> >>>>> "f" == fork list <Mr.> writes:
>
> f> "Free trade and free markets have proven their ability to lift
> f> whole societies out of poverty" I'm not a
> f> socio-political/history buff - does anybody have some clear
> f> examples?
>
> China? Ooops, no wait, scratch that.
>
> There is one counter example that I can think of, but it may not be
> precisely "free trade/markets" -- when Ben Franklin first visited
> England he was asked why the colonies were so prosperous. Ben
> explained that they used "Colonial Script", a kind of barter-dollar,
> and increasing the supply of script ensured complete employment. The
> British bankers were furious and immediately lobbied parliament to
> clamp down on the practice. Within a few years, the colonies were
> rife with unemployment and poverty just like the rest of the Empire.
>
> According to questionable literature handed out by a fringe political
> party here in Canada, the Founding Fathers had no real complaint about
> tea taxes, it was the banning of colonial script they were
> protesting. If this is true, then it comes right back to the forces
> that killed Ned Ludd's followers as to why popular opinion believes
> they were protesting a tea tax. The same pamphlet claimed that Canada
> was also a prosperous nation until, by an act of parliament in the
> late-50's or early 60's, the right to print money was removed from the
> juristiction of parliament and handed over to the Bank of Canada.
>
> I've wondered about all this. Certainly the timeline of the collapse
> of the Canadian economy fits the profile, but there are oodles of
> other causes (for example, spending money like we had 300M people when
> we only had 20M) Anyone have any further information on this?
>
> --
> Gary Lawrence Murphy - [email protected] - TeleDynamics Communications
> - blog: http://www.auracom.com/~teledyn - biz: http://teledyn.com/ -
> "Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." (Picasso)
| 0 |
RE: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Mr.
> FoRK
> Also, the lifestyle of the remnants of those
> societies is on average only marginally above poverty even today.
As I understand it, there is a huge difference between native Americans
who speak english at home and those who do not. I don't have figures
that separate those at hand, though.
1989 American Indians (US Pop as a whole) -- Families below poverty
27.2% (10%), Persons below poverty 31.2 (13.1), Speak a language other
than English 23 (13.8) Married couple families 65.8 (79.5) Median family
income $21,619 ($35,225) Per Capita $8,284 ($14,420).
Note: High Income countries in 1989 were defined as having over $6,000
per capita. American Indians separated from the rest of the US society
would still be considered a high-income society.
| 0 |
Re: SunMSapple meta4 of the day
Clearly, it is US/NATO = Sun/IBM/OSS, USSR = MS
"Where we want you to go in our 5 year plan?"
sdw
Tom wrote:
>Im feeling a bit farklempt having spent the night at Todais with the
>family so talk amongst yourself..here Ill give you a topic
>
>The current state of IT can be thought of in terms of the Cold war with
>the US and the UUSR being MS and Sun/IBM/OSS (does it matter which side
>is which?), Apple as Cuba and the US legal system as the UN.
>
>Discuss.
>
>
--
[email protected] http://sdw.st
Stephen D. Williams 43392 Wayside Cir,Ashburn,VA 20147-4622
703-724-0118W 703-995-0407Fax Dec2001
| 0 |
Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
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Hash: SHA1
At 11:15 AM -0400 on 9/22/02, Geege Schuman wrote:
> Most of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League
> dropouts suggesting to me that they weren't exactly poor to start
> with.
Actually, if I remember correctly from discussion of the list's
composition in Forbes about five or six years ago, the *best* way to
get on the Forbes 400 is to have *no* college at all. Can you say
"Bootstraps", boys and girls? I knew you could...
[Given that an undergraduate liberal arts degree from a state school,
like, say, mine, :-), is nothing but stuff they should have taught
you in a government-run "high" school, you'll probably get more of
*those* on the Forbes 400 as well as time goes on. If we ever get
around to having a good old fashioned government-collapsing
transfer-payment depression (an economic version of this summer's
government-forest conflagration, caused by the same kind of
innumeracy that not clear-cutting enough forests did out west this
summer :-)) that should motivate more than a few erst-slackers out
there, including me, :-), to learn to actually feed themselves.]
The *next* category on the Forbes 400 list is someone with a
"terminal" professional degree, like an MBA, PhD, MD, etc., from the
best school possible.
Why? Because, as of about 1950, the *best* way to get into Harvard,
for instance, is to be *smart*, not rich. Don't take my word for it,
ask their admissions office. Look at the admissions stats over the
years for proof.
Meritocracy, American Style, was *invented* at the Ivy League after
World War II. Even Stanford got the hint, :-), and, of course,
Chicago taught them all how, right? :-). Practically *nobody* who
goes to a top-20 American institution of higher learning can actually
afford to go there these days. Unless, of course, their parents, who
couldn't afford to go there themselves, got terminal degrees in the
last 40 years or so. And their kids *still* had to get the grades,
and "biased" (by intelligence :-)), test scores, to get in.
The bizarre irony is that almost all of those people with "terminal"
degrees, until they actually *own* something and *hire* people, or
learn to *make* something for a living all day on a profit and loss
basis, persist in the practically insane belief, like life after
death, that economics is some kind of zero sum game, that dumb people
who don't work hard for it make all the money, and, if someone *is*
smart, works hard, and is rich, then they stole their wealth somehow.
BTW, none of you guys out there holding the short end of this
rhetorical stick can blame *me* for the fact that I'm using it to
beat you severely all over your collective head and shoulders. You
were, apparently, too dumb to grab the right end. *I* went to
Missouri, and *I* don't have a degree in anything actually useful,
much less a "terminal" one, which means *I*'m broker than anyone on
this list -- it's just that *you*, of all people, lots with
educations far surpassing my own, should just plain know better. The
facts speak for themselves, if you just open your eyes and *look*.
There are no epicycles, the universe does not orbit the earth, and
economics is not a zero-sum game. The cost of anything, including
ignorance and destitution, is the forgone alternative, in this case,
intelligence and effort.
[I will, however, admit to being educated *waay* past my level of
competence, and, by the way *you* discuss economics, so have you,
apparently.]
BTW, if we ever actually *had* free markets in this country,
*including* the abolition of redistributive income and death taxes,
all those smart people in the Forbes 400 would have *more* money, and
there would be *more* self-made people on that list. In addition,
most of the people who *inherited* money on the list would have
*much* less of it, not even relatively speaking. Finally, practically
all of that "new" money would have come from economic efficiency and
not "stolen" from someone else, investment bubbles or not.
That efficiency is called "progress", for those of you in The
People's Republics of Berkeley or Cambridge. It means more and better
stuff, cheaper, over time -- a terrible, petit-bourgeois concept
apparently not worthy of teaching by the educational elite, or you'd
know about it by now. In economic terms, it's also called an increase
in general welfare, and, no, Virginia, I'm not talking about
extorting money from someone who works, and giving it to someone who
doesn't in order to keep them from working and they can think of some
politician as Santa Claus come election time...
In short, then, economics is not a zero sum game, property is not
theft, the rich don't get rich off the backs of the poor, and
redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy horseshit is just
that: horseshit, happy or otherwise.
To believe otherwise, is -- quite literally, given the time Marx
wrote Capital and the Manifesto -- romantic nonsense.
Cheers,
RAH
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--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Goodbye Global Warming
... and say hello to the cool: Oooo ... /this/ is going to cause
some stir ...
http://www.atmos.uah.edu./essl/msu/background.html received via
http://ontario.indymedia.org:8081/front.php3?article_id=12280
Using satellites to monitor global climate change
Earth System Science Laboratory
The University of Alabama in Huntsville
For Additional Information:
Dr. John Christy, Associate Professor of Atmospheric Science
Earth System Science Laboratory, The University of Alabama in Huntsville
Phone: (205) 922-5763 E-mail: [email protected]
Dr. Roy Spencer, Space Scientist
Global Hydrology & Climate Center, NASA/Marshall Space Flight Center
Phone: (205) 922-5960 E-mail: [email protected]
SUMMARY
As part of an ongoing NASA/UAH joint project, Dr. John Christy of UAH and Dr. Roy Spencer of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center use data gathered by microwave sounding units (MSUs) on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TIROS-N satellites to get accurate, direct measurements of atmospheric temperatures for almost all regions of the Earth, including remote deserts, rain forests and oceans for which reliable temperature data are not otherwise available.
The accuracy and reliability of temperature data gathered by the satellites since January 1979 has been confirmed by comparing the satellite data to independent temperature data. A recent study (1) found a 97 percent agreement between the MSU data and temperatures measured by thermometers suspended beneath weather balloons released by meteorologists for weather observations.
Once the monthly temperature data is collected from the satellites and processed, it is placed in a "public" computer file for immediate access by atmospheric scientists in the U.S. and abroad. It has become the basis for a number of major studies in global climate change, and is cited in reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
GATHERING THE DATA
While traditional thermometers measure the temperature at a specific point in the air, a microwave sounding unit on a satellite takes readings that are average temperatures in a huge volume of the atmosphere. Each of the more than 30,000 readings per day per satellite is an average temperature for more than 75,000 cubic kilometers of air.
The MSU makes a direct measurement of the temperature by looking at microwaves emitted by oxygen molecules in the atmosphere. The intensity of the microwave emissions - their "brightness" - varies according to temperature.
Christy and Spencer developed a method to take the data from several satellites and produce a unified temperature dataset.
VERIFYING THE ACCURACY OF MSU MEASUREMENTS
A recent comparison (1) of temperature readings from two major climate monitoring systems - microwave sounding units on satellites and thermometers suspended below helium balloons - found a "remarkable" level of agreement between the two.
To verify the accuracy of temperature data collected by microwave sounding units, Christy compared temperature readings recorded by "radiosonde" thermometers to temperatures reported by the satellites as they orbited over the balloon launch sites.
He found a 97 percent correlation over the 16-year period of the study. The overall composite temperature trends at those sites agreed to within 0.03 degrees Celsius (about 0.054� Fahrenheit) per decade. The same results were found when considering only stations in the polar or arctic regions.
"The idea was to determine the reliability of the satellite data by comparing it to an established independent measurement," Christy said. "If satellite data are reliable when the satellites are over the radiosonde sites, that means you should be able to trust them everywhere else."
The 99 radiosondes reported an aggregate warming trend of 0.155 degrees Celsius (about 0.28� Fahrenheit) per decade since 1979. Over those 99 spots on the globe, the satellites also recorded a warming trend: 0.128 degrees Celsius (about 0.23� Fahrenheit) per decade.
Globally, however, the satellite data show a cooling trend of 0.03 degrees Celsius per decade since the first NOAA TIROS-N satellites went into service.
"These 99 radiosonde launch sites are just not distributed evenly around the planet," Christy said. "They are not representative of the total globe."
Radiosonde balloons are released from stations around the world, usually at noon and midnight Greenwich standard time. As each balloon climbs from the surface to the stratosphere, the temperature is measured and relayed to the ground by radio.
While there are more than 1,000 radiosonde launch sites globally, the data from many sites either are not readily available or are not consistently collected. Christy used data from 99 sites at which there has been long-term systematic and reliable data collection. These 99 radiosonde launch sites are in a box bounded by Iceland, Trinidad, Truk Island and Alaska.
In an earlier study, an upper air temperature record compiled by NOAA from 63 daily weather balloon sites around the world indicated a 17-year climate trend of -0.05� C per decade, which was in exact agreement with the satellite data at that time, Christy said.
GLOBAL COVERAGE
One advantage of the MSU dataset is its global coverage. Microwave sounding units aboard NOAA satellites directly measure the temperature of the atmosphere over more than 95 percent of the globe. Each satellite measures the temperature above most points on Earth every 12 hours.
The 'global temperature' that has been frequently reported from surface measurements is neither global in extent nor systematic in measurement method. It neglects vast oceanic and continental regions, including Antarctica, the Brazilian rain forests, the Sahara Desert and Greenland.
The most commonly cited historical temperature dataset is from ground-based thermometers. More than 5,000 thermometers worldwide provide almost instantaneous local temperature data through links to weather services and scientists.
Most of these thermometers, which are usually in small shelters about five feet above the ground, are in areas easily accessible to people. In the U.S. and other industrial countries, these thermometers are most often found at airports.
The ground-based network is extensive in North America, Europe, Russia, China and Japan. It is less comprehensive in Africa, South America, Australia and across much of Southern Asia.
Temperatures on the surface and vertically through the atmosphere are gathered daily by thermometers carried aloft by helium balloons. "Radiosonde" balloons are released from stations around the world, usually at noon and midnight Greenwich standard time.
While balloon release sites are scattered throughout the world, they are concentrated in industrial nations. There are more than 1,000 radiosonde launch sites globally. If they were evenly distributed around the world, that would equal approximately one for every 195,000 square miles of the Earth's surface.
Water temperatures, which are used to derive estimates of atmospheric temperatures, come from thermometers on piers and buoys, and aboard "ships of opportunity." The ships record the temperature of water drawn in to cool their engines. The water temperature data from these instruments is also not global in its coverage, tending instead to be concentrated in heavily-travelled shipping lanes, and in harbors.
In the past 12 years, a new system of approximately 100 deep ocean buoys has been established, gathering both atmospheric and water temperature data.
INSTRUMENT ACCURACY; MSU
With nine satellites measuring the temperature over periods of from one to six years, a method was devised to merge all the data into a single, consistent time series.
Each satellite has its own bias that, if not calculated and removed, would introduce spurious trends. The biases are calculated by directly comparing each satellite with others in operation at that time. Periods of overlapping operation ranged from three months to three years, and were sufficient to determine these biases.
Because the MSU instruments are so stable and have so many thousands of observations, the biases between the satellites are known to within 0.01 deg. The final product removes these biases so that all data are referenced to a common base. (2)
To check the final product, comparisons were made over a 16-year period with balloon measurements as stated above, and the phenomenal agreement provided the independent validation necessary to conclude that the merging technique developed for this dataset was accurate.
INSTRUMENT ACCURACY; GROUND-BASED THERMOMETERS
Of great concern to scientists is the lack of consistency in the way readings are taken and in the thermometer surroundings. Since most thermometers for which long-term records exist are in towns and cities, the effects of population growth and the construction of nearby roads, parking lots, runways and buildings may cause the temperature to rise a little due of urbanization. This temperature change may be an artifact of a local "asphalt effect" rather than a long-term widespread climate change.
INSTRUMENT ACCURACY; SHIPS OF OPPORTUNITY
While the temperature data collected by ships at sea is reported as a sea surface temperature, this data reflects water temperatures from about three to 60 feet below the surface - the level from which water is drawn into the ships.
The thousands of individual thermometers used to collect this data are not calibrated against a scientific standard, nor is there a method for verifying the accuracy of either the thermometers or the reports matching temperature readings to specific times and places.
Only in places where there are many overlapping observations can there be any confidence in their accuracy.
THE SCIENTISTS
In 1996, Spencer and Christy received the American Meteorological Society's Special Award. They were honored "for developing a global, precise record of the Earth's temperature from operational polar-orbiting satellites, fundamentally advancing our ability to monitor climate."
AMS Special Awards are given to individuals or organizations not appropriately recognized by more specifically-defined awards, and who have made important contributions to the science or practice of meteorology or to the society.
In 1991, Spencer and Christy received NASA's Exceptional Scientific Achievement Medal.
DR. JOHN CHRISTY
Christy began his scientific career as a senior research associate at UAH in 1987, after earning his B.A. (1973) in mathematics from California State University-Fresno, his M.Div. (1978) from Golden Gate Baptist Theological Seminary, and his M.S. (1984) and Ph.D. (1987) degrees in atmospheric sciences from the University of Illinois.
He was an instructor of mathematics at Parkland College in Champaign, IL, 1983-87, an instructor of mathematics at the University of South Dakota, 1981-82, and an instructor of mathematical sciences at Yankton (S.D.) College, 1980-81.
He also served as pastor of the Grace Baptist Church in Vermillion, S.D., 1978-82, and as science master at Baptist High School, Nyeri, Kenya, 1973-75. He has published more than 20 refereed scientific papers.
Christy serves on the NOAA National Scientific Review Panel for the National Climatic Data Center, and on NOAA's Pathfinder Review Panel. He was an "invited key contributor" to the 1995 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's scientific assessment of climate change, and served as a contributor to the 1992 and 1994 IPCC reports.
DR. ROY SPENCER
Spencer began his career as a research associate at the Space Science and Engineering Center in Madison, WI, in 1981, after earning his B.S. (1978) in meteorology at the University of Michigan and his M.S. (1979) and Ph.D. (1981) degrees in meteorology from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He was a Universities Space Research Association visiting scientist at MSFC, 1984-87, before joining the MSFC staff in 1987.
He is the U.S. team leader for the Multichannel Microwave Imaging Radiometer Team and has served on numerous committees relating to remote sensing. He directs a program involving satellite and aircraft passive microwave data to build global climate data sets and to address climate research issues. Spencer is lead author on sixteen scientific papers.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
(1) J.R. Christy, 1995, "Climatic Change," Vol. 31, pp. 455-474.
(2) J.R. Christy, R.W. Spencer and R.T. McNider, 1995, "Journal of Climate,"
Vol. 8, pp. 888-896.
R.W. Spencer, J.R. Christy and N.C. Grody, 1990, "Journal of Climate," Vol. 3,
pp. 111-1128.
R.W. Spencer and J.R. Christy, 1992, "Journal of Climate," Vol. 5, pp. 858-
SEE ALSO
http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/essd5feb97_1.htm
http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/notebook/essd13aug98_1.htm
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/MSU/hl_measuretemp.htm
http://www.atmos.uah.edu/atmos/christy.html
--
Gary Lawrence Murphy - [email protected] - TeleDynamics Communications
- blog: http://www.auracom.com/~teledyn - biz: http://teledyn.com/ -
"Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." (Picasso)
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
Gary Lawrence Murphy wrote:
>and say hello to the cool: Oooo ... /this/ is going to cause some stir ...
Of course not. Some people just don't want to be confused by the facts.
>SUMMARY
>
>As part of an ongoing NASA/UAH joint project, Dr. John Christy of UAH
>and Dr. Roy Spencer of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center use data
>gathered by microwave sounding units (MSUs) on National Oceanic and
>Atmospheric Administration TIROS-N satellites to get accurate, direct
>measurements of atmospheric temperatures for almost all regions of the
>Earth [...]
But some plonker will come up with yet another computer model
predicting global warming and storms and floods in 50 years even
though it can't predict next week's weather. And predict widespread
cooling in some parts of the globe (which is now part of global
"warming"). And will get plenty of publicity for even more conclusive
scaremong^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H proof.
>[...]
>Globally, however, the satellite data show a cooling trend of 0.03
>degrees Celsius per decade since the first NOAA TIROS-N satellites
>went into service.
Umpteen studies have already shown that temperature variations, when
even detectable in the noise, go either way depending on which data
you look at.
>Of great concern to scientists is the lack of consistency in the way
>readings are taken [...] the construction of
>nearby roads, parking lots, runways and buildings may cause the
>temperature to rise a little due of urbanization. This temperature
>change may be an artifact of a local "asphalt effect" rather than a
>long-term widespread climate change.
One study from Vienna showed long-term warming from thermometers at
the airport, and none from other sites. Another study with data from
Antarctica which was touted as supporting global warming while being
free from this urbanization effect later turned out to be dominated by
the time of day at which the airplane that made the measurements flew
(I may have mentioned this one b4...)
"There are no facts, only interpretations."
- Friedrich Nietzsche.
"Bullshit!"
- Rob.
.-. .-.
/ \ .-. .-. / \
/ \ / \ .-. _ .-. / \ / \
/ \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \
/ \ / \ / `-' `-' \ / \ / \
\ / `-' `-' \ /
`-' `-'
| 0 |
Re: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
In a message dated 9/22/2002 11:38:01 PM, [email protected] writes:
>the *best* way to
>get on the Forbes 400 is
historically: real estate
Tom
| 0 |
High-Altitude Rambos
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/09/23/opinion/23HERB.html?todaysheadlines=&pagewanted=print&position=top
The New York Times
September 23, 2002
High-Altitude Rambos
By BOB HERBERT
Dr. Bob Rajcoomar, a U.S. citizen and former military physician from Lake
Worth, Fla., found himself handcuffed and taken into custody last month in
one of the many episodes of hysteria to erupt on board airliners in the
U.S. since the Sept. 11 attacks.
Dr. Rajcoomar was seated in first class on a Delta Airlines flight from
Atlanta to Philadelphia on Aug. 31 when a passenger in the coach section
began behaving erratically. The passenger, Steven Feuer, had nothing to do
with Dr. Rajcoomar.
Two U.S. air marshals got up from their seats in first class and moved back
to coach to confront Mr. Feuer, who was described by witnesses as a slight
man who seemed disoriented. What ensued was terrifying. When Mr. Feuer
refused to remain in his seat, the marshals reacted as if they were trying
out for the lead roles in Hollywood's latest action extravaganza.
They handcuffed Mr. Feuer, hustled him into first class and restrained him
in a seat next to Dr. Rajcoomar. The 180 or so passengers were now quite
jittery. Dr. Rajcoomar asked to have his seat changed and a flight
attendant obliged, finding him another seat in first class. The incident,
already scary, could - and should - have ended there. But the marshals were
not ready to let things quiet down.
One of the marshals pulled a gun and brandished it at the passengers. The
marshals loudly demanded that all passengers remain in their seats, and
remain still. They barked a series of orders. No one should stand for any
reason. Arms and legs should not extend into the aisles. No one should try
to visit the restroom. The message could not have been clearer: anyone who
disobeyed the marshals was in danger of being shot.
The passengers were petrified, with most believing that there were
terrorists on the plane.
"I was afraid there was going to be a gun battle in that pressurized
cabin," said Senior Judge James A. Lineberger of the Philadelphia Court of
Common Pleas, a veteran of 20 years in the military, who was sitting in an
aisle seat in coach. "I was afraid that I was going to die from the gunfire
in a shootout."
Dr. Rajcoomar's wife, Dorothy, who was seated quite a distance from her
husband, said, "It was really like Rambo in the air." She worried that
there might be people on the plane who did not speak English, and therefore
did not understand the marshals' orders. If someone got up to go to the
bathroom, he or she might be shot.
There were no terrorists on board. There was no threat of any kind. When
the plane landed about half an hour later, Mr. Feuer was taken into
custody. And then, shockingly, so was Dr. Rajcoomar. The air marshals
grabbed the doctor from behind, handcuffed him and, for no good reason that
anyone has been able to give, hauled him to an airport police station where
he was thrown into a filthy cell.
This was airline security gone berserk. No one ever suggested that Dr.
Rajcoomar, a straight-arrow retired Army major, had done anything wrong.
Dr. Rajcoomar, who is of Indian descent, said he believes he was taken into
custody solely because of his brown skin. He was held for three frightening
hours and then released without being charged. Mr. Feuer was also released.
Officials tried to conceal the names of the marshals, but they were
eventually identified by a Philadelphia Inquirer reporter as Shawn B.
McCullers and Samuel Mumma of the Transportation Security Administration,
which is part of the U.S. Transportation Department.
The Transportation Security Administration has declined to discuss the
incident in detail. A spokesman offered the absurd explanation that Dr.
Rajcoomar was detained because he had watched the unfolding incident "too
closely."
If that becomes a criterion for arrest in the U.S., a lot of us reporters
are headed for jail.
Dr. Rajcoomar told me yesterday that he remains shaken by the episode. "I
had never been treated like that in my life," he said. "I was afraid that I
was about to be beaten up or killed."
Lawyers for the American Civil Liberties Union have taken up his case and
he has filed notice that he may sue the federal government for unlawful
detention.
"We have to take a look at what we're doing in the name of security," said
Dr. Rajcoomar. "So many men and women have fought and died for freedom in
this great country, and now we are in danger of ruining that in the name of
security."
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Rebuild at Ground Zero
http://online.wsj.com/article_print/0,,SB10327475102363433,00.html
The Wall Street Journal
September 23, 2002
COMMENTARY
Rebuild at Ground Zero
By LARRY SILVERSTEIN
Earlier this month, we New Yorkers observed the solemn anniversary of the
horrific events that befell our city on Sept. 11, 2001. All of those who
perished must never be forgotten. The footprints of the fallen Twin Towers
and a portion of the 16-acre site must be dedicated to a memorial and civic
amenities that recall the sacrifices that were made there and the anguish
that those senseless acts of terror created for the victims' families and,
indeed, for all of us.
But for the good of the city and the region, the 10-million-plus square
feet of commercial and retail space that was destroyed with the Twin Towers
must be replaced on the site.
About 50,000 people worked in the World Trade Center. Those jobs are lost,
along with those of another 50,000 people who worked in the vicinity.
Together, those jobs in lower Manhattan, for which the Trade Center was the
economic stimulus, produced annual gross wages of about $47 billion, or 15%
of the annual gross wages earned in the entire state. Some of the firms
have relocated elsewhere in the city and region, but many have not. New
York City is facing a budget deficit. Without additional jobs, the deficit
may become permanent. This is one reason for the importance of rebuilding.
If we do not replace the lost space, lower Manhattan never will regain the
vibrancy it had as the world's financial center. Love them or hate them,
and there were lots of New Yorkers on both sides of the issue, the Towers
made a powerful statement to the world that said, "This is New York, a
symbol of our free economy and of our way of life." That is why they were
destroyed. This is a second reason why the towers must be replaced, and
with buildings that make a potent architectural statement.
In recent weeks, redevelopment proposals have been circulated from many
sources. Most of these focus not on the Trade Center site, however, but on
all of lower Manhattan. Further, many believe that the 10 million square
feet either could be located elsewhere, scattered in several sites, or
simply never rebuilt.
These proposals miss the point. What was destroyed, and what must be
recovered, was the Trade Center, not all of lower Manhattan. Except over
the towers' footprints, where there must be no commercial development, the
office and retail space lost has to be rebuilt on or close to where it was.
Access to mass transit makes the site ideal for office space of this size.
That was a major reason why the Twin Towers were leased to 97% occupancy
before 9/11. None of the other sites proposed for office development has
remotely equal transportation access. With the reconstruction of the subway
and PATH stations, plus an additional $4.5 billion in transit improvements
planned, such as the new Fulton Transit Center and the direct
"Train-to-the-Plane" Long Island Rail Road connection, the site becomes
even more the logical locus of office development.
And New York will need the space. Before 9/11, the Group of 35, a task
force of civic leaders led by Sen. Charles Schumer and former Treasury
Secretary Robert Rubin, concluded that the city would need an additional 60
million square feet of new office space by 2020 to accommodate the
anticipated addition of 300,000 new jobs. The loss of the Twin Towers only
heightens the need.
As for those who say that 10 million square feet of office space downtown
cannot be absorbed by the real estate market, I would simply point out that
history shows them wrong. New York now has about 400 million square feet of
office space. All new construction underway already is substantially leased
up. New York had 48 million square feet of vacant office space at the
beginning of the recession in 1990. By 1998, this space had been absorbed,
at an annual rate of about 6 million square feet.
We are seeking to rebuild 10 million square feet on the Trade Center site
over a period of about 10 years, with the first buildings not coming on
line until 2008 and the project reaching completion in 2012. This is an
annual absorption rate of about a million feet, much lower than the 1990s'
rate.
Those who argue that New York cannot reabsorb office space that it
previously had are saying that the city has had its day and is entering an
extended period of stagnation and decline. I will not accept this view, nor
will most New Yorkers.
Mayor Michael Bloomberg said in a recent interview with the New York Times
that the city "has to do two things: memorialize, but also build for the
future." I believe that the Twin Towers site can gracefully accommodate --
and that downtown requires -- office and retail space of architectural
significance, a dignified memorial that both witnesses and recalls what
happened, and cultural amenities that would benefit workers as well as
residents of the area.
The challenge to accomplish this is enormous. But our city is up to the task.
Mr. Silverstein is president of Silverstein Properties, a real estate firm
whose affiliates hold 99-year leases on the World Trade Center site.
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Anarchist 'Scavenger Hunt' Raises D.C. Police Ire (fwd)
[Destined to be a new reality TV Show?]
Anarchist 'Scavenger Hunt' Raises D.C. Police Ire
Sat Sep 21, 3:37 PM ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - An online "anarchist scavenger
hunt" proposed for next week's annual meeting of the
International Monetary Fund ( news - web sites) and
World Bank ( news - web sites) here has raised the ire
of police, who fear demonstrators could damage
property and wreak havoc.
Break a McDonald's window, get 300 points. Puncture a
Washington D.C. police car tire to win 75 points.
Score 400 points for a pie in the face of a corporate
executive or World Bank delegate.
D.C. Assistant Police Chief Terrance Gainer told a
congressional hearing on Friday that law authorities
were in talks to decide whether planned protests were,
"so deleterious to security efforts that we ought to
take proactive action."
Several thousand people are expected to demonstrate
outside the IMF and World Bank headquarters next
weekend.
The Anti-Capitalist Convergence, a D.C.-based
anarchist group, is also planning a day-long traffic
blockade, banner-drops and protests against major
corporations in the downtown core.
Chuck, the 37 year-old webmaster of the anarchist site
www.infoshop.org who declined to give his last name,
told Reuters his scavenger hunt was meant as a joke.
"People were asking for things to do when they come to
D.C. We made the list to get people thinking, so they
don't do the boring, standard stuff," he said. "I
doubt people will actually keep track of what they do
for points."
| 0 |
Re: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
R. A. Hettinga wrote:
>-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
>Hash: SHA1
>
>At 11:15 AM -0400 on 9/22/02, Geege Schuman wrote:
>
>
>
>
>>Most of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League
>>dropouts suggesting to me that they weren't exactly poor to start
>>with.
>>
>>
>
>Actually, if I remember correctly from discussion of the list's
>composition in Forbes about five or six years ago, the *best* way to
>get on the Forbes 400 is to have *no* college at all. Can you say
>"Bootstraps", boys and girls? I knew you could...
>
>
Sure - discussion in Forbes - rigorous research, that. Especially when
the data in their own list
contradicts them. I continue to look at the list and all the "inherited,
growed" entries. I guess if
I read it enough times my vision will clear.
>[Given that an undergraduate liberal arts degree from a state school,
>like, say, mine, :-), is nothing but stuff they should have taught
>you in a government-run "high" school, you'll probably get more of
>*those* on the Forbes 400 as well as time goes on. If we ever get
>around to having a good old fashioned government-collapsing
>transfer-payment depression (an economic version of this summer's
>government-forest conflagration, caused by the same kind of
>innumeracy that not clear-cutting enough forests did out west this
>summer :-)) that should motivate more than a few erst-slackers out
>there, including me, :-), to learn to actually feed themselves.]
>
>
>The *next* category on the Forbes 400 list is someone with a
>"terminal" professional degree, like an MBA, PhD, MD, etc., from the
>best school possible.
>
>Why? Because, as of about 1950, the *best* way to get into Harvard,
>for instance, is to be *smart*, not rich. Don't take my word for it,
>ask their admissions office. Look at the admissions stats over the
>years for proof.
>
>
I, at on point, looked into Stanford Business School. After learning
that tuition was > 20K,
no financial aid was available, and part-time work was disallowed, this
smart person decided
that I was not willing to spend the $150 application fee
(non-refundable). During attendance at
my local business school, I was told repeatedly I should have gone for
it - to quote a prof, (Northwestern MBA), it
has nothing to do with the education you receive - in general European
(and Canadian) business
schools are better and more innovative - its the connections. He used
the words "American nobility."
>Meritocracy, American Style, was *invented* at the Ivy League after
>World War II. Even Stanford got the hint, :-), and, of course,
>Chicago taught them all how, right? :-). Practically *nobody* who
>goes to a top-20 American institution of higher learning can actually
>afford to go there these days. Unless, of course, their parents, who
>couldn't afford to go there themselves, got terminal degrees in the
>last 40 years or so. And their kids *still* had to get the grades,
>and "biased" (by intelligence :-)), test scores, to get in.
>
>
"invented" being the right word. Dubya went to Yale and HBS. I guess
"practically" gets you
around that problem.
>
>The bizarre irony is that almost all of those people with "terminal"
>degrees, until they actually *own* something and *hire* people, or
>learn to *make* something for a living all day on a profit and loss
>basis, persist in the practically insane belief, like life after
>death, that economics is some kind of zero sum game, that dumb people
>who don't work hard for it make all the money, and, if someone *is*
>smart, works hard, and is rich, then they stole their wealth somehow.
>
>BTW, none of you guys out there holding the short end of this
>rhetorical stick can blame *me* for the fact that I'm using it to
>beat you severely all over your collective head and shoulders. You
>were, apparently, too dumb to grab the right end. *I* went to
>Missouri, and *I* don't have a degree in anything actually useful,
>much less a "terminal" one, which means *I*'m broker than anyone on
>this list -- it's just that *you*, of all people, lots with
>educations far surpassing my own, should just plain know better. The
>facts speak for themselves, if you just open your eyes and *look*.
>There are no epicycles, the universe does not orbit the earth, and
>economics is not a zero-sum game. The cost of anything, including
>ignorance and destitution, is the forgone alternative, in this case,
>intelligence and effort.
>
>[I will, however, admit to being educated *waay* past my level of
>competence, and, by the way *you* discuss economics, so have you,
>apparently.]
>
>
>
Its interesting but in this part of the World (Nova Scotia) a recent
study found that college graduates
earn less than graduates of 2 year community colleges (trade schools).
They did decline to mention
that the demand for some trades is so great that some of
them are demanding university degrees to get in. Just for the record -
the average salary for
a university graduate (including advanced degree holders) here is C$
21,000 -- < $14,000 US. No wonder
half of San Francisco has set up here - we have a whole whack of call
centers that
have arrived here in the last couple of years - I think they hire some
entry level IT people for around $10 ($6 US) an
hour, which of course, fits perfectly for me - my entry level job, in
1986, paid $11.00 an hour. The fundamental difference
is that most of the jobs that require a trade are *unionized*.In other
words, in this part of the world, for the vast majority of people,
union dues are a better investment than tuition. The counter-argument
to this is that many college graduates
leave for better work elsewhere, but the counter-counter argument is
that we are the thin edge
(one of several really - prison labor in the US would be another) of
third-world wages and work practices coming
to North America.
I worked at a company that had a 14-year wage freeze. The fact that they
could maintain that (and prosper) just says
volumes about the economy in this part of the world. I met many people
there, like me, who felt that was fine, I can vote
with my feet. They didn't quite realize that just about every large
employer in the area has similar, or worse, policies. Anyway
eventually they started a union drive. During the vote, retired
employees were brought in by the employer (rumours were
that they were paid the going rate for a vote around here - a bottle of
rum) and somehow allowed to vote . The union filed
a grievance - which was denied - by a Minister of Labour, who, hey,
guess what - used to be a VP at the company.
That's free labor markets at work. The business continues to prosper -
as I was told when I was there - it is a cash cow as long
as the JOA (Joint Operating Agreement) with the competing paper is in
place.
And if you think that any of those wonderful American companies, out of
some free-enterprise belief in competing for the best talent,
are going to do anything about that, sorry, most of them received
generous subsidies, in return, I'm sure, for an understanding about
the labor markets here.
>
>BTW, if we ever actually *had* free markets in this country,
>*including* the abolition of redistributive income and death taxes,
>all those smart people in the Forbes 400 would have *more* money, and
>there would be *more* self-made people on that list. In addition,
>most of the people who *inherited* money on the list would have
>*much* less of it, not even relatively speaking. Finally, practically
>all of that "new" money would have come from economic efficiency and
>not "stolen" from someone else, investment bubbles or not.
>
>That efficiency is called "progress", for those of you in The
>People's Republics of Berkeley or Cambridge. It means more and better
>stuff, cheaper, over time -- a terrible, petit-bourgeois concept
>apparently not worthy of teaching by the educational elite, or you'd
>know about it by now. In economic terms, it's also called an increase
>in general welfare, and, no, Virginia, I'm not talking about
>extorting money from someone who works, and giving it to someone who
>doesn't in order to keep them from working and they can think of some
>politician as Santa Claus come election time...
>
>
Much as I like to accept what you say - I do believe in free markets , I
have difficulty finding any - except of course for
labor markets, which governments go to great lengths to protect (well
unless the supply is tight)
It was a great run with the technology industry - producing most of the
self-made billionaires on
the list, but now we've got a government-sponsored monopoly, and the
concept of "more stuff, cheaper"
which it has always promised - seems to be disappearing. A particularly
galling example is
high-speed internet access. An article I read a couple of years ago that
it is an area where the pricing
approaches of the IT industry (cheaper, better or you die) and the
telecom industry (maintain your
monopoly through regulation, and get guaranteed price increases through
the same regulators) meet.
Sadly to say, the telecom industry seems to have won. The whole
entertainment industry/RIAA/Palladium thing
seems to be another instance where actually giving value to the customer
seems less important than using
regulation to reduce competition and substitute products in order to
produce profits for the favored few.
>
>In short, then, economics is not a zero sum game, property is not
>theft, the rich don't get rich off the backs of the poor, and
>redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy horseshit is just
>that: horseshit, happy or otherwise.
>
>To believe otherwise, is -- quite literally, given the time Marx
>wrote Capital and the Manifesto -- romantic nonsense.
>
>
I usually agree - but when there's a Republican in office - I feel like
they're the biggest believers in
the Manifesto, in reverse. Create a reserve pool of labor, reduce the
rights of that "proletariat" you've
just created with bogus "law and order" policies , concentrate capital
in the hands of a few (ideally people
who can get you reelected) and the economy will take care of itself. Oh,
and lie - use
the word "compassionate" a lot. I guess I tend to believe that a certain
amount of poverty reduction actually
helps a modern capitalist state - the basic economic tenet of the
Republic party seems to be the more homeless under
each overpass, the more efficient the rest of us will be.
And the facts are, for most people in the Western world are declining
standards of living, declining benefits, disappearing social safety net,
greater working hours, essentially since the entrance of women into the
work force (not blaming women in any way, they have a right
to work but its now 2 wage-earners in each family and still declining
standards of living) is the reality.
Again to quote that wonderfully liberal document I keep coming back to -
the CIA world factbook - on the US economy:
"Since 1975, practically all the gains in household income have gone to
the top 20% of households"
Owen
| 0 |
Re: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
Hmm, if the shoe fits... I think these five attributes could more or
less describe various actions of the US over the past decade or so...
> In the 1990s we witnessed the emergence of a small number of rogue
> states that, while different in important ways, share a number of
> attributes. These states:
>
> * brutalize their own people and squander their national resources
> for the personal gain of the rulers;
The first part of this doesn't really fit, except in isolated cases -
certainly not en mass. The second part though... Hmm...
> * display no regard for international law, threaten their
> neighbors, and callously violate international treaties to which they
> are party;
Well, think about it.
> * are determined to acquire weapons of mass destruction, along with
> other advanced military technology, to be used as threats or
> offensively to achieve the aggressive designs of these regimes;
We already have weapons of mass destruction, but are actively developing
bigger and better ones.
> * sponsor terrorism around the globe; and
Heheh... Anyone know about the 'School of the Americas'? What about the
monies, supplies, and training that supported the contra rebels? Oh, I
forgot, their government was "bad" and needed to be overthrown (with out
help).
> * reject basic human values and hate the United States and
> everything for which it stands.
Basic human values like the first ammendment? The fourth ammendment?
Sorry, Shrub, your political newspeak is falling on deaf ears. Oh,
sorry, maybe I should self-censor my thoughts to avoid being put in a
're-education camp' by Ashcrofts gestappo? Gads, maybe someone on FoRK
has joined your T.I.P.S. program and became an official citizen spy?
In disgust,
Elias
| 0 |
Re: [VoID] a new low on the personals tip...
> * Too much information?
The saying, as I recall, is along
the lines of "put your best foot
forward".
(In this case, you seem to have put
everything forward, in a Fosbury
Flop consisting of the best foot,
the worst foot, enough arms for a
diety and his consort, and even a
set of spare limbs from Hoffa or
the space aliens or whatever it is
you keep locked up in the trunk of
the Bonneville)
> ... replied ... in one go, in a matter of minutes. I *do*
> really think this way, complete with footnotes. So if it's too much
> information, I still stand by my reply: I wouldn't be myself if I
> started off playing games.
Pascal could write short letters,
when he had the time. Is editing
to provide an "executive summary"
really being untrue to yourself?
(We are all used to a full-bore
real-time Rohit streaming, but
that's because we are already
"Friends of", and know to set
our buffers accordingly. For a
stranger's sake, it may be best
to provide the "elevator pitch
Rohit" -- and negotiate upwards
only after a session has been
established)
-Dave
:::::
Thomas Jefferson writes:
> I served with General Washington in the legislature of Virginia before
> the revolution and during it with Dr. Franklin in Congress. I never
> heard either of them speak [for as long as] ten minutes at a time ...
| 0 |
Re: sed /s/United States/Roman Empire/g
>
> Sorry, Shrub, your political newspeak is falling on deaf ears. Oh,
> sorry, maybe I should self-censor my thoughts to avoid being put in a
> 're-education camp' by Ashcrofts gestappo? Gads, maybe someone on FoRK
> has joined your T.I.P.S. program and became an official citizen spy?
>
>
> In disgust,
> Elias
Well the message was clear to me - the US wants to start an arms race to
jack up their world arms sales monopoly.
Owen
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
> Gary Lawrence Murphy wrote:
> >and say hello to the cool: Oooo ... /this/ is going to cause
> some stir ...
>
> Of course not. Some people just don't want to be confused by the facts.
For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would need to explain why the
dramatic increase in CO2 concentrations are not increasing the global
temperature. They would also need to explain why, worldwide, glaciers are
melting faster than they have previously in the historical record. That is,
people need more than refutations, they need a compelling alternate
explanation (hint: climate variability doesn't cover all the bases).
- Jim
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
>>>>> "J" == Jim Whitehead <[email protected]> writes:
J> For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would need to
J> explain why the dramatic increase in CO2 concentrations are not
J> increasing the global temperature. They would also need to
J> explain why, worldwide, glaciers are melting faster than they
J> have previously in the historical record.
The associated links cover that: The surface temperature in spots
frequented by people is warmer (hence all our groundbased sensors
reporting global warming) although the overall environmental
temperature is decreasing.
Apparently, the real news is not that there is no global warming, but
that our models of the warming were seriously flawed by naive
convection models. This too was not news to the theoreticians: All
that has happened is that NASA has confirmed the naiive convection
concerns.
--
Gary Lawrence Murphy - [email protected] - TeleDynamics Communications
- blog: http://www.auracom.com/~teledyn - biz: http://teledyn.com/ -
"Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." (Picasso)
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
"the historical record", by which you mean *human* historical record, is
highly overrated (nigh worthless) when you are talking about geological
timescales, even on topics with as short a timescale as climate.
My problem with global warming (or cooling for that matter), is that the
supposedly profound recent changes in temperature, both in absolute
terms and as a function time, very arguably fall well below the noise
floor of the natural fluctuations that have occurred over the last
50,000 years both in terms of absolute average temperature and the rate
of temperature change. People unfamiliar with history of global
temperature since the advent of modern humans may think that a degree
here or there over a century is a lot, not realizing that global
temperatures regularly whipsaw with far greater extremity. I therefore
immediately dismiss any theory of global warming that cannot explain why
temperatures whipsawed more severely in pre-history than in the last
couple thousand years (which have been relatively calm by geological
standards). This is a very inconvenient fact for people trying to use
climate to push a particular social agenda.
It is worth noting that underneath the receding glaciers deposited
during the last major ice age, they are finding substantial evidence of
humans living in what was a nice temperate climate before the glaciers
paved over their civilization. The receding glaciers have turned into a
bit of an archaeological treasure chest, as they expose artifacts buried
in and underneath them as they shrink that have been preserved by the
ice for thousands of years. I don't see any compelling reason to "save
the glaciers" anyway, particularly in light of the fact that their
existence has always been transient.
For anyone to insist that the current negligible fluctuations are
anthropogenic just heaps one ridiculous assertion upon another. I'll
just stick with Occam's Razor for now.
In my humble opinion.
Cheers,
-James Rogers
[email protected]
On Mon, 2002-09-23 at 12:23, Jim Whitehead wrote:
>
> For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would need to explain why the
> dramatic increase in CO2 concentrations are not increasing the global
> temperature. They would also need to explain why, worldwide, glaciers are
> melting faster than they have previously in the historical record. That is,
> people need more than refutations, they need a compelling alternate
> explanation (hint: climate variability doesn't cover all the bases).
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would have to bury the
Greens. A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
would have had to invent it. So it is with global warming. Their
fundamental opposition isn't to a warmer earth, it is to industrial
civilization.
The fact that the sattelites didn't match what the global warming
theorists said should be there is old news. The news here is that the
temperature measures via sattelite have gotten even better and they have
been validated with a different means of measurement.
Rather than have to defend CO2 concentrations as not causing global
warming, people who believe in CO2 need a good explanation of the
"Medieval Warm Period". Said period was warmer than what we have now,
and it obvioiusly wasn't caused by CO2.
In point of fact the predicted global warming due to CO2 is not caused
DIRECTLY by CO2. CO2 doesn't trap that much heat. Water vapor does,
and if you can get more water vapor in the air due to CO2 then you have
your warming theory.
Yet it would seem that the very stability of the earth's climate over
long periods argues not for an unstable system with positive feedback
loops but one where negative feedback loops predominate.
More water vapor can increase temperatuers, but that also leads to more
clouds. Clouds both trap heat and reflect it, so it depends a great
deal on how the cloud formation shakes out. Most climate models admit
they do clouds very poorly.
A good link is:
http://www.techcentralstation.be/2051/wrapper.jsp?PID=2051-100&CID=2051-
060302A
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Jim
> Whitehead
> Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 12:23 PM
> To: Robert Harley; [email protected]
> Subject: RE: Goodbye Global Warming
>
> > Gary Lawrence Murphy wrote:
> > >and say hello to the cool: Oooo ... /this/ is going to cause
> > some stir ...
> >
> > Of course not. Some people just don't want to be confused by the
facts.
>
> For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would need to explain
why
> the
> dramatic increase in CO2 concentrations are not increasing the global
> temperature. They would also need to explain why, worldwide, glaciers
are
> melting faster than they have previously in the historical record.
That
> is,
> people need more than refutations, they need a compelling alternate
> explanation (hint: climate variability doesn't cover all the bases).
>
> - Jim
>
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
> J> For anyone to fully bury global warming, they would need to
> J> explain why the dramatic increase in CO2 concentrations are not
> J> increasing the global temperature.
You have not explained why the increase in CO2 concentrations is not
contributing to increasing global temperature.
> This too was not news to the theoreticians: All
> that has happened is that NASA has confirmed the naiive convection
> concerns.
Precisely which theoreticians do you mean? What, exactly, do you mean by a
global warming theoretician -- scientists in this area don't use that term.
I assure you that not all scientists performing modeling of global
temperature phenomena agree with your assertions.
- Jim
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
> "the historical record", by which you mean *human* historical record, is
> highly overrated (nigh worthless) when you are talking about geological
> timescales, even on topics with as short a timescale as climate.
There has been a significant recent increase in global CO2 concentrations.
The vast preponderance of the new CO2 in the atmosphere is due to human
activity starting around the industrialization of Europe, and accelerating
after WWII. Most scientists studying global climate change believe that
these increased CO2 concentrations are the primary causal agent for
increased global warming. Hence our interest in items of human time scale.
> It is worth noting that underneath the receding glaciers deposited
> during the last major ice age, they are finding substantial evidence of
> humans living in what was a nice temperate climate before the glaciers
> paved over their civilization. The receding glaciers have turned into a
> bit of an archaeological treasure chest, as they expose artifacts buried
> in and underneath them as they shrink that have been preserved by the
> ice for thousands of years. I don't see any compelling reason to "save
> the glaciers" anyway, particularly in light of the fact that their
> existence has always been transient.
Most global climate change scientists would agree that temperatures in the
past have often been much warmer than today. The point of global warming
isn't to save the Earth -- the planet is not sentient. The point is to
understand and potentially reduce the impact of increasing temperatures on
global human activity.
> For anyone to insist that the current negligible fluctuations are
> anthropogenic just heaps one ridiculous assertion upon another. I'll
> just stick with Occam's Razor for now.
The increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is due to human activity.
It is generally accepted that increases in CO2 in a closed environment
subject to solar heating retain more of that solar energy. This is the
current best explanation for the high temperature of Venus. If the CO2
concentration goes up globally (which it has), then theory states the earth
should be retaining greater solar energy. This process may be slow, and may
be difficult to monitor due to the variability of temperatures worldwide. I
encourage you to refute any part of this causal chain linking CO2 to
eventual increases in global energy content, part of which will be evident
as heat.
- Jim
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
----- Original Message -----
From: "James Rogers" <[email protected]>
>
> It is worth noting that underneath the receding glaciers deposited
> during the last major ice age, they are finding substantial evidence of
> humans living in what was a nice temperate climate before the glaciers
> paved over their civilization. The receding glaciers have turned into a
> bit of an archaeological treasure chest, as they expose artifacts buried
> in and underneath them as they shrink that have been preserved by the
> ice for thousands of years.
Got bits?
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Hall" <[email protected]>
> A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
> would have had to invent it.
A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
--]> A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
--]> would have had to invent it.
--]A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
--]
Oh great, another round of Lableisms....Let me know when you get back to
real data..
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
"I did not have sex with that woman."
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Mr.
> FoRK
> Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:12 PM
> To: FoRK
> Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "John Hall" <[email protected]>
>
> > A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
> > would have had to invent it.
> A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
I've seen articles on this type of stuff passing through various forums
for several years. I've always found archaeology interesting for no
particular reason. Here is a recent article from U.S. News that I
actually still have in the dank recesses of my virtual repository.
-James Rogers
[email protected]
--------------------------------------------
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/issue/020916/misc/16meltdown.htm
Defrosting the past
Ancient human and animal remains are melting out of glaciers, a bounty
of a warming world
BY ALEX MARKELS
As he hiked near Colorado's Continental Divide in the summer of 2001, Ed
Knapp noticed a strange shape jutting from a melting ice field at 13,000
feet. "It looked like a bison skull," the building contractor and
amateur archaeologist recalls. "I thought, 'That's strange. Bison don't
live this high up.' "
Knapp brought the skull to the Denver Museum of Nature and Science,
where scientists last month announced that it was indeed from a
bison�one that died about 340 years ago. "This was an extraordinary
discovery," says Russ Graham, the museum's chief curator, adding that it
could alter notions of the mountain environment centuries ago. "There's
probably a lot more like it yet to be found."
And not just bison. Colorado isn't the only place where glaciers and
snowfields are melting. Decades of unusual warmth in regions from Peru
to Alaska�a trend some think is linked to emissions from cars and
industry�have shrunk or thawed many of the world's 70,000 glaciers. As
the ice recedes, a treasure-trove of human and animal artifacts is
emerging, extraordinarily well preserved after centuries in the deep
freeze. The fabrics, wood, bone, and DNA-rich tissue found on the mucky
fringes of the ice are revising scientists' understanding of our
predecessors' health, habits, and technology, and the prey they pursued.
"It's mind-boggling how many different fields are being advanced through
studying these remains," says Johan Reinhard, a high-altitude
archaeologist and explorer-in-residence at the National Geographic
Society. Rare, spectacular finds like the frozen mummies he discovered
in the Andes of Peru in the 1990s and the legendary 5,300-year-old "Ice
Man," found at the edge of a receding glacier in the Alps in 1991, have
offered time capsules of cultural and biological information. Now, as
the ice continues to retreat, it is yielding not just occasional
treasures but long records of humans and animals in the high mountains.
Vanishing act. The trick is finding such specimens before Mother
Nature�and looters�take them first. Once uncovered, frozen remains can
deteriorate within hours or be gnawed by animals. Moreover, they're
often so well preserved when they emerge that people who come upon them
don't even realize they're ancient.
That was the case when three men hunting sheep near a high glacier in
British Columbia, Canada, three years ago saw what they thought was a
dead animal. "It looked a little like sealskin buried in the ice,"
recalls Warren Ward, a teacher from nearby Nelson. "But when I looked
closer I could see leather fringe from a coat and finger bones."
Figuring they had found the remains of another hunter, or perhaps a fur
trapper, the men stowed a flint knife and other artifacts in a Zip-Loc
bag and delivered them to local officials. Archaeologists later exhumed
the fallen hunter's body, along with a woven hat, fur clothing, and what
seemed to be a medicine bag. Carbon dating revealed that the hunter
lived about 550 years ago. Dubbed Kwaday Dan Ts'inchi, or Long Ago
Person Found, by people of the Champagne and Aishihik First Nations (who
may be his direct descendants), he is perhaps the best-preserved human
from the period ever found in North America.
Other findings from melting ice in the neighboring Yukon region could
explain what that long-ago person was doing in the mountains in the
first place. "Before this there was no archaeological record of people
living here," says Greg Hare, a Yukon government archaeologist. "Now we
see that this area was very much part of people's seasonal activities."
Like Ward's discovery, the search began by chance, when Kristin Benedek
caught a whiff of what smelled like a barnyard as she and her husband,
Gerry Kuzyk, hunted sheep at 6,000 feet in the mountains of the south
Yukon. They followed the scent to a melting patch of ice covered in
caribou dung. "It was really odd, because I knew there hadn't been
caribou in the area for at least 100 years," recalls Kuzyk, then a
wildlife biologist with the Yukon government.
Caribou cake. Returning a week later, he found "what looked like a
pencil with string wrapped around it." It turned out to be a
4,300-year-old atlatl, or spear thrower. Further investigation of the
ice patch�and scores of others around the region�revealed icy layer
cakes filled with caribou remains and human detritus chronicling 7,800
years of changing hunting practices.
Scientists now believe ancient caribou and other animals flocked to the
ice each summer to cool down and escape swarming mosquitoes and flies.
Hunters followed the game. They returned for centuries and discarded
some equipment in the ice. "We've got people hunting with throwing darts
up until 1,200 years ago," says Hare, who now oversees the research
project. "Then we see the first appearance of the bow and arrow about
1,300 years ago. And by 1,200 years ago, there's no more throwing
darts."
Now scientists are trying to make the search less a matter of luck. They
are developing sophisticated computer models that combine data on where
glaciers are melting fastest and where humans and animals are known to
have migrated to pinpoint the best places to search in Alaska's Wrangell
and St. Elias mountain ranges�the United States' most glaciated
terrain�and in the Andes. Johan Reinhard thinks the fast- thawing
European Alps could also deliver more findings, perhaps as exquisite as
the Ice Man. "Global warming is providing us high-altitude
archaeologists with some fantastic opportunities right now. We're
probably about the only ones happy about it."
| 0 |
How about subsidizing SSL access to Google?
[a cheeky letter to the editors of the Economist follows, along with the
article I was commenting on... Rohit]
In your article about Chinese attempts to censor Google last week ("The
Search Goes On", Sept. 19th), the followup correctly noted that the most
subversive aspect of Google's service is not its card catalog, which
merely points surfers in the right direction, but the entire library. By
maintaining what amounts to a live backup of the entire World Wide Web,
if you can get to Google's cache, you can read anything you'd like.
The techniques Chinese Internet Service Providers are using to enforce
these rules, however, all depend on the fact that traffic to and from
Google, or indeed almost all public websites, is unencrypted. Almost all
Web browsers, however, include support for Secure Sockets Layer (SSL)
encryption for securing credit card numbers and the like. Upgrading to
SSL makes it effectively impossible for a 'man-in-the-middle' to meddle;
censorship would have to be imposed on each individual computer in
China. The only choice left is to either ban the entire site (range of
IP addresses), but not the kind of selective filtering reported on in
the article.
Of course, the additional computing power to encrypt all this traffic
costs real money. If the United States is so concerned about the free
flow of information, why shouldn't the Broadcasting Board of Governors
sponsor an encrypted interface to Google, or for that matter, the rest
of the Web?
To date, public diplomacy efforts have focused on public-sector
programming for the Voice of America, Radio Sawa, and the like. Just
imagine if the US government got into the business of subsidizing secure
access to private-sector media instead. Nothing illustrates the freedom
of the press as much as the wacky excess of the press itself -- and most
of it is already salted away at Google and the Internet Archive project.
On second thought, I can hardly imagine this Administration *promoting*
the use of encryption to uphold privacy rights. Never mind...
Best,
Rohit Khare
===========================================================
The search goes on
China backtracks on banning Google�up to a point
Sep 19th 2002 | BEIJING
From The Economist print edition
IN CHINESE, the nickname for Google, an American Internet search engine,
is gougou, meaning �doggy�. For the country's fast-growing population of
Internet users (46m, according to an official estimate), it is proving
an elusive creature. Earlier this month, the Chinese authorities blocked
access to Google from Internet service providers in China�apparently
because the search engine helped Chinese users to get access to
forbidden sites. Now, after an outcry from those users, access has been
restored.
An unusual climbdown by China's zealous Internet censors? Hardly. More
sophisticated controls have now been imposed that make it difficult to
use Google to search for material deemed offensive to the government.
Access is still blocked to the cached versions of web pages taken by
Google as it trawls the Internet. These once provided a handy way for
Chinese users to see material stored on blocked websites.
After the blocking of Google on August 31st, many Chinese Internet users
posted messages on bulletin boards in China protesting against the move.
Their anger was again aroused last week when some Chinese Internet
providers began rerouting users trying to reach the blocked Google site
to far less powerful search engines in China.
Duncan Clark, the head of a Beijing-based technology consultancy firm,
BDA (China) Ltd, says China is trying a new tactic in its efforts to
censor the Internet. Until recently, it had focused on blocking
individual sites, including all pages stored on them. Now it seems to be
filtering data transmitted to or from foreign websites to search for key
words that might indicate undesirable content. For example earlier this
week when using Eastnet, a Beijing-based Internet provider, a search on
Google for Falun Gong�a quasi-Buddhist exercise sect outlawed in China�
usually aborted before all the results had time to appear. Such a search
also rendered Google impossible to use for several minutes.
| 0 |
Re[2]: Goodbye Global Warming
How about this: A bored FoRKer said: "YAWN"
I believe Tom had it right. Signal not noise.
I'll start:
Los Angeles Times September 23, 2002 Monday
Copyright 2002 / Los Angeles Times
Los Angeles Times
September 23, 2002 Monday Home Edition
SECTION: Main News Main News; Part 1; Page 13; National Desk
LENGTH: 1013 words
BYLINE: DANA CALVO, TIMES STAFF WRITER
DATELINE: SEATTLE
BODY:
The idea came at the end of a long, frustrating brown-bag session at a
public-policy think tank here.
The challenge was to save the city's child-care programs. Staring into
his empty coffee cup, the meeting coordinator's mind landed on an
unlikely solution: Put a tax--just a "benign" dime a shot--on
espresso.
That led to a petition signed by more than 20,000 Seattle residents,
and next year, voters will decide whether the tax becomes law, one
that taps right into Seattle's legendary addiction to coffee. This is,
after all, the town where Starbucks was born and where the $12 pound
of beans became a staple. There is one Starbucks for every 7,000
residents in Seattle, compared to one per 64,000 in New York. Seattle
also has two other major coffee chains, Tully's Coffee and Seattle's
Best Coffee, as well as countless cafes and espresso carts.
A recent poll showed that 74% of Seattle residents would vote for the
tax. "For people outside of Seattle who don't understand the
consumption of espresso, [the tax proposal] can be seen as crazy,"
said John Burbank, the think tank's executive director, "but it was
common sense."
Research by his nonprofit Economic Opportunity Institute showed that
people preferred a tax on liquor or beer over one on espresso. But
because of the large number of lattes and cappuccinos sold, a tax on
espresso could be lower than one levied on alcohol.
Burbank estimates the tax could generate $7 million to $10 million a
year. City Council aides dispute his figures, saying their research
shows the tax would bring in $1.5 million to $3 million a year.
Burbank's institute is funded by foundations and labor unions. The
think tank's mission is to promote public policy in the interests of
low-income people, and it has long championed child-care issues.
Burbank says the tax would restore cuts to the child-care programs
made earlier this year by Gov. Gary Locke. He also says it would
provide more low-income families with subsidies for child care,
improve preschool programs and increase teacher salaries.
At Bauhaus Books & Coffee, the sidewalk is dotted with tables of
customers for whom coffee is a half-day activity, not just a drink.
Espresso lovers like Chris Altman, who at a dime a day would spend an
extra $36.50 a year, said the investment is worth it. "I'm OK with
it," said the 35-year-old, stirring his iced latte. "The money's got
to come from somewhere."
Hope Revuelto, 25, was cooling her regular coffee ($1 because she
brought her own mug) and reading "Zen and the Art of Pottery." She
supports the initiative and said its critics are behaving as would be
expected of espresso drinkers: They want the most expensive thing on
the menu but resist paying 10 cents to help the needy.
Some say the tax isn't the issue; they just resent being singled out.
David Marsh, 45, a costume manager, drinks up to three espressos a
day, which means he'd be shelling out an extra $109.50 a year. "I, for
one, don't have kids, but I drink espresso," he said, as he sewed a
leather collar onto a chain-mail tunic. "I don't mind paying, but I
think everyone should pay."
Coffeehouses are steamed about it, and they've organized as
JOLT--Joined to Oppose the Latte Tax. Among the members are Seattle's
Chamber of Commerce and the city's two largest coffee franchises,
Starbucks and Tully's.
The tax would force coffeehouses to track sales of any beverage that
contains espresso, a task that could be an administrative nightmare
for smaller cafes, especially during the frantic morning rush. If
espresso counts come under suspicion, coffeehouse owners could face a
city audit.
University of Chicago economics professor Michael Greenstone said the tax doesn't add up.
"The purpose of any tax is to be efficient and equitable, and this is
neither," he said. "On the efficiency side, it's surely going to lead
to costly efforts by both businesses and consumers to find ways to
avoid the tax. For example, Starbucks could claim that they are using
finely ground coffee, [instead of coffee run though an espresso maker]
and that consequently, they are exempt from the tax. Would they be
right? I don't know, but finding out will surely take lots of legal
fees that could have gone to child care.
"Of course, from a public-relations perspective, this is an ingenious
idea, and I mean that in a cynical way. They've pitted espresso
drinkers against child-care supporters, and who's going to side with
the espresso drinkers?"
In fact, the proposed tax has forced opponents into a political
two-step, where their criticism must remain a beat behind their public
stance of political correctness. In a liberal city like Seattle,
corporations continually advertise their commitment to social
activism, and throughout the debate over the initiative, JOLT members
prefaced their opposition with endorsements of good child care.
"Starbucks will continue to support early-learning and
childhood-development programs through the millions of dollars we
contribute annually," the company said. "However, Starbucks does not
understand why the Economic Opportunity Institute would recommend an
additional consumer tax on espresso beverages, or any other single
consumer product."
The City Council has yet to decide when the initiative will go before
voters next year. The initiative's authors say it is directed at
vendors; critics predict it will be passed on to consumers through
higher prices, effectively punishing them for their choice of coffee.
The tax would be applied to any drink with at least half an ounce of
espresso, including decaf. Drip coffee would be exempt.
Burbank says the tax would reach only a pre-selected group of
consumers who are wealthier than those who drink drip. So, he's been
pitching it as a modern-day Robin Hood tax, where the needy get a dime
every time the affluent spend $3 to $4 on an espresso.
It's the kind of political marketing that Fran Beulah, 43, finds
funny. "I drink espresso," she said, laughing, "and I am not rich."
JH> "I did not have sex with that woman."
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
JH> Mr.
>> FoRK
>> Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:12 PM
>> To: FoRK
>> Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
>>
>>
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "John Hall" <[email protected]>
>>
>> > A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
>> > would have had to invent it.
>> A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
--
Best regards,
bitbitch mailto:[email protected]
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
Sorry... I just had a run-in with a neighbor whom I've never met before who
pigeonholed me within one minute after I asked a question - he said 'Are you
one of them environmentalists?' For some reason that narrowminded attitude
of not listening to what I was saying and categorizing me into a box in his
little paranoid republican fantasy world just pissed me off.
Sheesh... I've been out of work too long...
----- Original Message -----
From: "Tom" <[email protected]>
To: "Mr. FoRK" <[email protected]>
Cc: "FoRK" <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:22 PM
Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
>
> --]> A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
> --]> would have had to invent it.
> --]A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
> --]
>
> Oh great, another round of Lableisms....Let me know when you get back to
> real data..
>
| 0 |
RE: Re[2]: Goodbye Global Warming
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]
>
> Burbank says the tax would reach only a pre-selected group of
> consumers who are wealthier than those who drink drip. So, he's been
> pitching it as a modern-day Robin Hood tax, where the needy get a dime
> every time the affluent spend $3 to $4 on an espresso.
The people who pour the espresso aren't rich. An interesting issue
might be how it affects employment.
Still, it is a 1% or less sales tax. That might not make that big of a
difference.
The costs of tracking revenue and collecting the tax might be onerous.
Worse than the cost of the tax itself.
Me: I hate coffee anyway. But if they put a $.10/can tax on Diet Dr.
Pepper I might have to start buying them in Oregon. (Yes, I drink that
much Diet Dr. Pepper).
| 0 |
SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
I love the absurd sense of humor it takes to build up such an elaborate
evening only to note that "even if the date's a bust you can always have
a hundred people up for cocktails" in your penthouse suite at the end of
the night :-)
Personally, I'd put one point in favor of the Redwood Room over Lapis:
on a weeknight, you can still whip out a TiBook and write, since it's a
hotel bar. And it seems to give people all sorts of license to
interrogate you as to why you're writing with a double of scotch :-)
Best,
Rohit
> Five Best Ways to Impress Your Date
>
> You've met the biped of your dreams at the corner laundromat and,
> wonder of wonders, she's agreed to go out with you this Saturday. Don't
> blow it! Follow the instructions below and even if you impress your
> date so much you never see her again, your evening will be a memorable
> one. All you need are a chauffeur, a change of clothes, and several
> hundred thousand dollars.
>
> Luxury Suite at Pacific Bell Park
>
> Third and King streets, 972-2000, www.sfgiants.com
>
> Kick off your date with an afternoon at the ballpark -- not just any
> ballpark, but just about the best ballpark in the country, and not in
> some drafty, behind-the-plate box seat but in one of the park's lushly
> accessorized luxury suites. An elevator whisks you from a private
> entrance on Willie Mays Plaza to your dwelling place above the infield.
> Besides the excellent views of the bay, the park, and the Giants in
> action, there's a balcony, a wet bar, a refrigerator, two televisions,
> a stereo/CD player, a dual-line phone, Internet access, room service,
> and a concierge to call you a cab or make your restaurant reservations
> for you. No one is admitted without proper clearance, ensuring your
> utmost privacy. Next: Pull yourself together for ...
>
> Cocktails at Lapis
>
> Pier 33 (Embarcadero at Bay), 982-0203,
>
> www.lapis-sf.com
>
> Now that the Redwood Room has devolved into just another velvet-rope
> yuppie hangout, the city has no clear-cut, top-of-the-line cocktail
> lounge such as Chicago's Pump Room or New York's King Cole Bar
> (although Maxfield's, the Compass Rose, and the Top of the Mark are
> excellent runners-up). Best of all is Lapis, where the wannabe Noel
> Coward can sip an estimable Gibson in the lounge adjoining the dining
> room. The dramatically backlit bar is framed by lush bronze draperies
> that complement the room's deep-blue setting, and towering ceilings
> give the lounge a graceful, airy ambience. Floor-to-ceiling windows
> provide a lush panorama of the bay and the hills beyond.
>
>
> Dinner at the Dining Room
>
> Ritz-Carlton Hotel, 600 Stockton (between Pine and
>
> California), 296-7465, www.ritzcarlton.com
>
> Your next stop on the road to beguilement is one of the handsomest
> dining rooms in the country. The tranquil sounds of a harp underscore a
> sumptuous setting of polished mahogany, soft linens, and fine crystal
> gleaming in the candlelight. Chef Sylvain Portay prepares luxurious
> nouvelle cuisine in several courses: lobster salad with caviar cream;
> turbot with crayfish and truffles; roasted squab with port-marinated
> figs; saffron-poached pear with guanaja chocolate gratin. Sommelier
> St�phane Lacroix maintains a fabulous cellar, the service is impeccable
> and inviting, and intimate discourse is practically inevitable. Next:
>
> Charter the Rendezvous From Rendezvous Charters
>
> Pier 40 (in South Beach Harbor), 543-7333,
>
> www.baysail.com
>
> Nothing's more enticing than an evening cruise around San Francisco
> Bay, and the islands, bridges, and lights of the city are especially
> entrancing viewed from this vintage brigantine schooner. Built in 1933
> and recently restored to its former glory, the 78-foot Rendezvous looks
> like a clipper ship out of the Gold Rush era, with its 80-foot masts
> and square-rigged sails. Intricately carved mahogany, pecan, ash, and
> rosewood accent the brass-railed, velvet-cushioned rooms below decks,
> the perfect spot for a sip of Veuve Cliquot and some subtle canoodling.
>
> Penthouse Suite at the Fairmont Hotel
>
> 950 Mason (between California and Sacramento),
>
> 772-5000, www.fairmont.com
>
> Last but not least, escort your companion to what has been described as
> the most expensive hotel accommodation in the world: the Fairmont's
> elaborate penthouse. The eight-room suite (including three bedrooms,
> three baths, a dining room, a library, a billiard room, a fully
> equipped kitchen, and a living room with fireplace and baby grand
> piano) comes with its own maid, butler, and limousine and is accessed
> by private elevator. The library alone is worth investigating: two
> circular floors of books encapsulated by a domed ceiling etched with
> the constellations. The view from the terrace is enthralling, and even
> if the date's a bust you can always have a hundred people up for
> cocktails.
>
> sfweekly.com | originally published: May 15, 2002
| 0 |
Googlenews
The further googlization of my screentimes....News...No not just
news...google news. I love the line that tells me how fresh/stale the news
item is....phreaking cewl.
So far I like the content range.
| 0 |
Here Come Da Feds
The damn Federalists are at it again, another bumsrush on Oregons states
rights..
[Being a 5 year translplant out here I say the best thing to do is bring
back the plans to make the state of Jefferson, then have Oregon,
Washington and Jefferson break away from the union.]
http://www.cnn.com/2002/LAW/09/23/oregon.assisted.suicide/
SAN FRANCISCO, California (CNN) -- The U.S.
Justice Department filed an appeal Monday to
overturn a federal judge's ruling that
upheld Oregon's doctor-assisted suicide law.
A spokesman for Oregon Attorney General
Hardy Myers said the state views the appeal
as "same story, different day."
Oregon voters approved doctor-assisted
suicide twice, in ballot initiatives in 1994
and 1997. But in November, U.S. Attorney
General John Ashcroft warned Oregon doctors
they would be prosecuted under federal law
if they prescribed lethal doses of drugs for
dying patients.
| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
SF Weekly:
>Nothing's more enticing than an evening cruise around San Francisco Bay,
>and the islands, bridges, and lights of the city are especially entrancing
>viewed from this vintage brigantine schooner. Built in 1933 and recently
>restored to its former glory, the 78-foot Rendezvous looks like a clipper
>ship out of the Gold Rush era, with its 80-foot masts and square-rigged
>sails.
That sounds like fun. But it sets the wrong precedent.
Here's the better idea. Invite her for an afternoon
cruise under the Golden Gate bridge in your Stonehorse
day sailor. Under way, ask her if she'd like to take
the stick. Back at slip, cook her dinner. Something
simple, but good, maybe a stir fry or a stew, served
in the cockpit, with an inexpensive but potable wine.
If she runs away after that, 'tis good riddance. If
she wants to try it again, another day, she shows
promise. If she asks you to show her the V berth, you
have a girlfriend. If she notes your brightwork needs
another coat, and asks what you're using on it,
propose on the spot.
;-)
_________________________________________________________________
MSN Photos is the easiest way to share and print your photos:
http://photos.msn.com/support/worldwide.aspx
| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
On Mon, 23 Sep 2002, Russell Turpin wrote:
--]Here's the better idea. Invite her for an afternoon
--]cruise under the Golden Gate bridge in your Stonehorse
--]day sailor.
Good way, heres one that worked for me.
Work on a database project with that person. After a while hand her the
keyboard to go get some lunch.
If when you come back she is talking to the person in the next cube about
survivor all the time you were gone...go for the one night boom boom plan
If when you return she has read thru the help screen to try to figure out
what your working on...go fro the week long dine and do with options for
more IF she finishes the help docs and does some code.
If when you come back she has done some work on the db's infrastructure,
cleaned up your code and made a few "additions" to make it work
better and figures that since you have done enough work for the day asks
that you bring lunch and your lap top to the big screen projection room
to watch your new DVD of startship troopers..marry her
| 0 |
Not just like a virgin...a virgin...birth
Rare Virgin Shark Births Reported in Detroit
Voice of America - 5 hours ago
A female shark has become a single mother - in the strictest sense of the
term. Officials at Detroit's Belle Isle Aquarium say a shark there
recently produced three babies in an event they are calling virgin births.
http://www.cnn.com/2002/US/Midwest/09/23/offbeat.shark.births.ap/
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/4124307.htm
http://www.startribune.com/stories/1451/3320433.html
| 0 |
RE: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
First, misattribution. I did not write the blurb below. I made one
statement about VP Cheney only, to wit, that he has a short memory.
I couldn't agree with you more on this: "in short, then, economics is not a
zero sum game, property is not theft, the rich don't get rich off the backs
of the poor, and redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy horseshit
is just that: horseshit, happy or otherwise," however, I resent being lumped
in a zero-sum-zealot category for suggesting nothing more than that rich and
successful at face value is apropos of nothing and I am beginning to
understand that people who immediately and so fiercely object to my ad
hominem (re Cheney) align themselves weird sylogisms like "if rich then
deservedly" or "if rich then smarter." Given that, I am also beginning to
understand why some people NEED to be rich.
WRT to meritocracies - all hail, meritocracies! WRT Harvard: over 90% of
2002 graduates were cum laude +. INTERESTING curve. Those eager to be
measured got their wish; those unwashed shy folk who just live it provide
the balast.
Speaking of Forbes, was reading about Peter Norton just today in an old
issue while waiting for my doctor. Norton attributes his success to LUCK.
Imagine.
Geege
-----Original Message-----
From: R. A. Hettinga [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Sunday, September 22, 2002 10:01 PM
To: Geege Schuman; Owen Byrne
Cc: Gary Lawrence Murphy; Mr. FoRK; [email protected]; Digital Bearer
Settlement List
Subject: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
/s/United States/Roman Empire/g))
-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
Hash: SHA1
At 11:15 AM -0400 on 9/22/02, Geege Schuman wrote:
> Most of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League
> dropouts suggesting to me that they weren't exactly poor to start
> with.
Actually, if I remember correctly from discussion of the list's
composition in Forbes about five or six years ago, the *best* way to
get on the Forbes 400 is to have *no* college at all. Can you say
"Bootstraps", boys and girls? I knew you could...
[Given that an undergraduate liberal arts degree from a state school,
like, say, mine, :-), is nothing but stuff they should have taught
you in a government-run "high" school, you'll probably get more of
*those* on the Forbes 400 as well as time goes on. If we ever get
around to having a good old fashioned government-collapsing
transfer-payment depression (an economic version of this summer's
government-forest conflagration, caused by the same kind of
innumeracy that not clear-cutting enough forests did out west this
summer :-)) that should motivate more than a few erst-slackers out
there, including me, :-), to learn to actually feed themselves.]
The *next* category on the Forbes 400 list is someone with a
"terminal" professional degree, like an MBA, PhD, MD, etc., from the
best school possible.
Why? Because, as of about 1950, the *best* way to get into Harvard,
for instance, is to be *smart*, not rich. Don't take my word for it,
ask their admissions office. Look at the admissions stats over the
years for proof.
Meritocracy, American Style, was *invented* at the Ivy League after
World War II. Even Stanford got the hint, :-), and, of course,
Chicago taught them all how, right? :-). Practically *nobody* who
goes to a top-20 American institution of higher learning can actually
afford to go there these days. Unless, of course, their parents, who
couldn't afford to go there themselves, got terminal degrees in the
last 40 years or so. And their kids *still* had to get the grades,
and "biased" (by intelligence :-)), test scores, to get in.
The bizarre irony is that almost all of those people with "terminal"
degrees, until they actually *own* something and *hire* people, or
learn to *make* something for a living all day on a profit and loss
basis, persist in the practically insane belief, like life after
death, that economics is some kind of zero sum game, that dumb people
who don't work hard for it make all the money, and, if someone *is*
smart, works hard, and is rich, then they stole their wealth somehow.
BTW, none of you guys out there holding the short end of this
rhetorical stick can blame *me* for the fact that I'm using it to
beat you severely all over your collective head and shoulders. You
were, apparently, too dumb to grab the right end. *I* went to
Missouri, and *I* don't have a degree in anything actually useful,
much less a "terminal" one, which means *I*'m broker than anyone on
this list -- it's just that *you*, of all people, lots with
educations far surpassing my own, should just plain know better. The
facts speak for themselves, if you just open your eyes and *look*.
There are no epicycles, the universe does not orbit the earth, and
economics is not a zero-sum game. The cost of anything, including
ignorance and destitution, is the forgone alternative, in this case,
intelligence and effort.
[I will, however, admit to being educated *waay* past my level of
competence, and, by the way *you* discuss economics, so have you,
apparently.]
BTW, if we ever actually *had* free markets in this country,
*including* the abolition of redistributive income and death taxes,
all those smart people in the Forbes 400 would have *more* money, and
there would be *more* self-made people on that list. In addition,
most of the people who *inherited* money on the list would have
*much* less of it, not even relatively speaking. Finally, practically
all of that "new" money would have come from economic efficiency and
not "stolen" from someone else, investment bubbles or not.
That efficiency is called "progress", for those of you in The
People's Republics of Berkeley or Cambridge. It means more and better
stuff, cheaper, over time -- a terrible, petit-bourgeois concept
apparently not worthy of teaching by the educational elite, or you'd
know about it by now. In economic terms, it's also called an increase
in general welfare, and, no, Virginia, I'm not talking about
extorting money from someone who works, and giving it to someone who
doesn't in order to keep them from working and they can think of some
politician as Santa Claus come election time...
In short, then, economics is not a zero sum game, property is not
theft, the rich don't get rich off the backs of the poor, and
redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy horseshit is just
that: horseshit, happy or otherwise.
To believe otherwise, is -- quite literally, given the time Marx
wrote Capital and the Manifesto -- romantic nonsense.
Cheers,
RAH
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--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Re: How about subsidizing SSL access to Google?
Good idea!
This could also be a job for P2P; lots of people would love to
devote their spare cycles, bandwidth, and unblocked IP addresses
to giving the Chinese unfettered net access.
In a sense, this is what the "peek-a-booty" project does:
http://www.peek-a-booty.org
But let's play out the next few moves:
Good Guys: Google enables SSL access
Bad Guys: Chinese government again blocks all access to Google domains
Good Guys: Set up Google proxies on ever-changing set of hosts (peek-a-booty)
Bad Guys: Ban SSL (or any unlicensed opaque traffic) at the national firewall
Good Guys: Hide Google traffic inside other innocuous-looking activity
Bad Guys: Require nationwide installation of client-side NetNannyish
software
Good Guys: Offer software which disables/spoofs monitoring software
Bad Guys: Imprison and harvest organs from people found using
monitoring-disabling-software
...and on and on.
The best we can hope is that technological cleverness, by raising the
costs of oppression or by provoking intolerable oppression, brings
social liberalization sooner rather than later.
- Gordon
----- Original Message -----
From: "Rohit Khare" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:44 PM
Subject: How about subsidizing SSL access to Google?
[a cheeky letter to the editors of the Economist follows, along with the
article I was commenting on... Rohit]
In your article about Chinese attempts to censor Google last week ("The
Search Goes On", Sept. 19th), the followup correctly noted that the most
subversive aspect of Google's service is not its card catalog, which
merely points surfers in the right direction, but the entire library. By
maintaining what amounts to a live backup of the entire World Wide Web,
if you can get to Google's cache, you can read anything you'd like.
The techniques Chinese Internet Service Providers are using to enforce
these rules, however, all depend on the fact that traffic to and from
Google, or indeed almost all public websites, is unencrypted. Almost all
Web browsers, however, include support for Secure Sockets Layer (SSL)
encryption for securing credit card numbers and the like. Upgrading to
SSL makes it effectively impossible for a 'man-in-the-middle' to meddle;
censorship would have to be imposed on each individual computer in
China. The only choice left is to either ban the entire site (range of
IP addresses), but not the kind of selective filtering reported on in
the article.
Of course, the additional computing power to encrypt all this traffic
costs real money. If the United States is so concerned about the free
flow of information, why shouldn't the Broadcasting Board of Governors
sponsor an encrypted interface to Google, or for that matter, the rest
of the Web?
To date, public diplomacy efforts have focused on public-sector
programming for the Voice of America, Radio Sawa, and the like. Just
imagine if the US government got into the business of subsidizing secure
access to private-sector media instead. Nothing illustrates the freedom
of the press as much as the wacky excess of the press itself -- and most
of it is already salted away at Google and the Internet Archive project.
On second thought, I can hardly imagine this Administration *promoting*
the use of encryption to uphold privacy rights. Never mind...
Best,
Rohit Khare
===========================================================
The search goes on
China backtracks on banning Google�up to a point
Sep 19th 2002 | BEIJING
From The Economist print edition
IN CHINESE, the nickname for Google, an American Internet search engine,
is gougou, meaning �doggy�. For the country's fast-growing population of
Internet users (46m, according to an official estimate), it is proving
an elusive creature. Earlier this month, the Chinese authorities blocked
access to Google from Internet service providers in China�apparently
because the search engine helped Chinese users to get access to
forbidden sites. Now, after an outcry from those users, access has been
restored.
An unusual climbdown by China's zealous Internet censors? Hardly. More
sophisticated controls have now been imposed that make it difficult to
use Google to search for material deemed offensive to the government.
Access is still blocked to the cached versions of web pages taken by
Google as it trawls the Internet. These once provided a handy way for
Chinese users to see material stored on blocked websites.
After the blocking of Google on August 31st, many Chinese Internet users
posted messages on bulletin boards in China protesting against the move.
Their anger was again aroused last week when some Chinese Internet
providers began rerouting users trying to reach the blocked Google site
to far less powerful search engines in China.
Duncan Clark, the head of a Beijing-based technology consultancy firm,
BDA (China) Ltd, says China is trying a new tactic in its efforts to
censor the Internet. Until recently, it had focused on blocking
individual sites, including all pages stored on them. Now it seems to be
filtering data transmitted to or from foreign websites to search for key
words that might indicate undesirable content. For example earlier this
week when using Eastnet, a Beijing-based Internet provider, a search on
Google for Falun Gong�a quasi-Buddhist exercise sect outlawed in China�
usually aborted before all the results had time to appear. Such a search
also rendered Google impossible to use for several minutes.
| 0 |
Pluck and Luck
Anyone who doesn't appreciate both PLUCK and LUCK is only looking at
part of the equation.
America has, in fact, moved hard toward Meritocracy. But -- and this is
a huge one -- you don't necessarily find it on the Forbes list. There
is an element of LUCK, even if only being in the right place at the
right time, to go that high.
Beyond the Forbes List, there are many ways in which almost pure LUCK is
involved in significant wealth. Being a super-model, for example.
Though I think most people would be surprised by a lot of super-models.
Cindy Crawford was valedictorian of her high school.
Most people, of course, aren't in those stratified realms. It is the
rest of us who tend to sort.
There is a huge philosophical problem with the concept of Merit in the
first place. Rawls claims Merit doesn't exist. Sowell seems to agree
at least in part, but I'm sure Sowell would also state that the benefits
of pretending it exists for society at large are enormous.
And if Merit does exist then exactly what is it measuring? IQ? Purity
of heart? Or the ability to satisfy customers? Functionally most
people seem to equate Merit with IQ though they say it would be better
if it were purity of heart. Yet the type of Merit that lands you on the
Forbes list, or even just being a garden variety 'millionaire next door'
is more likely to be the 'serving customers' definition.
Differences due to merit, when they are perceived as such, generate far
more animosity than differences due to luck. Luck can be forgiven.
Superior performance, often not.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Geege
> Schuman
> Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 4:44 PM
> To: R. A. Hettinga; Geege Schuman; Owen Byrne
> Cc: Gary Lawrence Murphy; Mr. FoRK; [email protected]; Digital Bearer
> Settlement List
> Subject: RE: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
> /s/United States/Roman Empire/g))
>
> First, misattribution. I did not write the blurb below. I made one
> statement about VP Cheney only, to wit, that he has a short memory.
>
> I couldn't agree with you more on this: "in short, then, economics is
not
> a
> zero sum game, property is not theft, the rich don't get rich off the
> backs
> of the poor, and redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy
horseshit
> is just that: horseshit, happy or otherwise," however, I resent being
> lumped
> in a zero-sum-zealot category for suggesting nothing more than that
rich
> and
> successful at face value is apropos of nothing and I am beginning to
> understand that people who immediately and so fiercely object to my ad
> hominem (re Cheney) align themselves weird sylogisms like "if rich
then
> deservedly" or "if rich then smarter." Given that, I am also
beginning to
> understand why some people NEED to be rich.
>
> WRT to meritocracies - all hail, meritocracies! WRT Harvard: over 90%
of
> 2002 graduates were cum laude +. INTERESTING curve. Those eager to be
> measured got their wish; those unwashed shy folk who just live it
provide
> the balast.
>
> Speaking of Forbes, was reading about Peter Norton just today in an
old
> issue while waiting for my doctor. Norton attributes his success to
LUCK.
> Imagine.
>
> Geege
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: R. A. Hettinga [mailto:[email protected]]
> Sent: Sunday, September 22, 2002 10:01 PM
> To: Geege Schuman; Owen Byrne
> Cc: Gary Lawrence Murphy; Mr. FoRK; [email protected]; Digital Bearer
> Settlement List
> Subject: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
> /s/United States/Roman Empire/g))
>
>
> -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
> Hash: SHA1
>
> At 11:15 AM -0400 on 9/22/02, Geege Schuman wrote:
>
>
> > Most of them seem to have Ivy League educations, or are Ivy League
> > dropouts suggesting to me that they weren't exactly poor to start
> > with.
>
> Actually, if I remember correctly from discussion of the list's
> composition in Forbes about five or six years ago, the *best* way to
> get on the Forbes 400 is to have *no* college at all. Can you say
> "Bootstraps", boys and girls? I knew you could...
>
> [Given that an undergraduate liberal arts degree from a state school,
> like, say, mine, :-), is nothing but stuff they should have taught
> you in a government-run "high" school, you'll probably get more of
> *those* on the Forbes 400 as well as time goes on. If we ever get
> around to having a good old fashioned government-collapsing
> transfer-payment depression (an economic version of this summer's
> government-forest conflagration, caused by the same kind of
> innumeracy that not clear-cutting enough forests did out west this
> summer :-)) that should motivate more than a few erst-slackers out
> there, including me, :-), to learn to actually feed themselves.]
>
>
> The *next* category on the Forbes 400 list is someone with a
> "terminal" professional degree, like an MBA, PhD, MD, etc., from the
> best school possible.
>
> Why? Because, as of about 1950, the *best* way to get into Harvard,
> for instance, is to be *smart*, not rich. Don't take my word for it,
> ask their admissions office. Look at the admissions stats over the
> years for proof.
>
> Meritocracy, American Style, was *invented* at the Ivy League after
> World War II. Even Stanford got the hint, :-), and, of course,
> Chicago taught them all how, right? :-). Practically *nobody* who
> goes to a top-20 American institution of higher learning can actually
> afford to go there these days. Unless, of course, their parents, who
> couldn't afford to go there themselves, got terminal degrees in the
> last 40 years or so. And their kids *still* had to get the grades,
> and "biased" (by intelligence :-)), test scores, to get in.
>
>
> The bizarre irony is that almost all of those people with "terminal"
> degrees, until they actually *own* something and *hire* people, or
> learn to *make* something for a living all day on a profit and loss
> basis, persist in the practically insane belief, like life after
> death, that economics is some kind of zero sum game, that dumb people
> who don't work hard for it make all the money, and, if someone *is*
> smart, works hard, and is rich, then they stole their wealth somehow.
>
> BTW, none of you guys out there holding the short end of this
> rhetorical stick can blame *me* for the fact that I'm using it to
> beat you severely all over your collective head and shoulders. You
> were, apparently, too dumb to grab the right end. *I* went to
> Missouri, and *I* don't have a degree in anything actually useful,
> much less a "terminal" one, which means *I*'m broker than anyone on
> this list -- it's just that *you*, of all people, lots with
> educations far surpassing my own, should just plain know better. The
> facts speak for themselves, if you just open your eyes and *look*.
> There are no epicycles, the universe does not orbit the earth, and
> economics is not a zero-sum game. The cost of anything, including
> ignorance and destitution, is the forgone alternative, in this case,
> intelligence and effort.
>
> [I will, however, admit to being educated *waay* past my level of
> competence, and, by the way *you* discuss economics, so have you,
> apparently.]
>
>
>
> BTW, if we ever actually *had* free markets in this country,
> *including* the abolition of redistributive income and death taxes,
> all those smart people in the Forbes 400 would have *more* money, and
> there would be *more* self-made people on that list. In addition,
> most of the people who *inherited* money on the list would have
> *much* less of it, not even relatively speaking. Finally, practically
> all of that "new" money would have come from economic efficiency and
> not "stolen" from someone else, investment bubbles or not.
>
> That efficiency is called "progress", for those of you in The
> People's Republics of Berkeley or Cambridge. It means more and better
> stuff, cheaper, over time -- a terrible, petit-bourgeois concept
> apparently not worthy of teaching by the educational elite, or you'd
> know about it by now. In economic terms, it's also called an increase
> in general welfare, and, no, Virginia, I'm not talking about
> extorting money from someone who works, and giving it to someone who
> doesn't in order to keep them from working and they can think of some
> politician as Santa Claus come election time...
>
>
> In short, then, economics is not a zero sum game, property is not
> theft, the rich don't get rich off the backs of the poor, and
> redistributionist labor "theory" of value happy horseshit is just
> that: horseshit, happy or otherwise.
>
> To believe otherwise, is -- quite literally, given the time Marx
> wrote Capital and the Manifesto -- romantic nonsense.
>
> Cheers,
> RAH
>
> -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE-----
> Version: PGP 7.5
>
> iQA/AwUBPY511cPxH8jf3ohaEQLAsgCfZhsQMSvUy6GqJ5wgL52DwZKpIhMAnRuR
> YYboc+IcylP5TlKL58jpwEfu
> =z877
> -----END PGP SIGNATURE-----
>
> --
> -----------------
> R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
> The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
> 44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
> "... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
> [predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
> experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
>
>
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
Thanks for the link - I'm fascinated by archaeology as well.
----- Original Message -----
From: "James Rogers" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:48 PM
Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
I've seen articles on this type of stuff passing through various forums
for several years. I've always found archaeology interesting for no
particular reason. Here is a recent article from U.S. News that I
actually still have in the dank recesses of my virtual repository.
-James Rogers
[email protected]
--------------------------------------------
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/issue/020916/misc/16meltdown.htm
Defrosting the past
Ancient human and animal remains are melting out of glaciers, a bounty
of a warming world
BY ALEX MARKELS
As he hiked near Colorado's Continental Divide in the summer of 2001, Ed
Knapp noticed a strange shape jutting from a melting ice field at 13,000
feet. "It looked like a bison skull," the building contractor and
amateur archaeologist recalls. "I thought, 'That's strange. Bison don't
live this high up.' "
Knapp brought the skull to the Denver Museum of Nature and Science,
where scientists last month announced that it was indeed from a
bison�one that died about 340 years ago. "This was an extraordinary
discovery," says Russ Graham, the museum's chief curator, adding that it
could alter notions of the mountain environment centuries ago. "There's
probably a lot more like it yet to be found."
And not just bison. Colorado isn't the only place where glaciers and
snowfields are melting. Decades of unusual warmth in regions from Peru
to Alaska�a trend some think is linked to emissions from cars and
industry�have shrunk or thawed many of the world's 70,000 glaciers. As
the ice recedes, a treasure-trove of human and animal artifacts is
emerging, extraordinarily well preserved after centuries in the deep
freeze. The fabrics, wood, bone, and DNA-rich tissue found on the mucky
fringes of the ice are revising scientists' understanding of our
predecessors' health, habits, and technology, and the prey they pursued.
"It's mind-boggling how many different fields are being advanced through
studying these remains," says Johan Reinhard, a high-altitude
archaeologist and explorer-in-residence at the National Geographic
Society. Rare, spectacular finds like the frozen mummies he discovered
in the Andes of Peru in the 1990s and the legendary 5,300-year-old "Ice
Man," found at the edge of a receding glacier in the Alps in 1991, have
offered time capsules of cultural and biological information. Now, as
the ice continues to retreat, it is yielding not just occasional
treasures but long records of humans and animals in the high mountains.
Vanishing act. The trick is finding such specimens before Mother
Nature�and looters�take them first. Once uncovered, frozen remains can
deteriorate within hours or be gnawed by animals. Moreover, they're
often so well preserved when they emerge that people who come upon them
don't even realize they're ancient.
That was the case when three men hunting sheep near a high glacier in
British Columbia, Canada, three years ago saw what they thought was a
dead animal. "It looked a little like sealskin buried in the ice,"
recalls Warren Ward, a teacher from nearby Nelson. "But when I looked
closer I could see leather fringe from a coat and finger bones."
Figuring they had found the remains of another hunter, or perhaps a fur
trapper, the men stowed a flint knife and other artifacts in a Zip-Loc
bag and delivered them to local officials. Archaeologists later exhumed
the fallen hunter's body, along with a woven hat, fur clothing, and what
seemed to be a medicine bag. Carbon dating revealed that the hunter
lived about 550 years ago. Dubbed Kwaday Dan Ts'inchi, or Long Ago
Person Found, by people of the Champagne and Aishihik First Nations (who
may be his direct descendants), he is perhaps the best-preserved human
from the period ever found in North America.
Other findings from melting ice in the neighboring Yukon region could
explain what that long-ago person was doing in the mountains in the
first place. "Before this there was no archaeological record of people
living here," says Greg Hare, a Yukon government archaeologist. "Now we
see that this area was very much part of people's seasonal activities."
Like Ward's discovery, the search began by chance, when Kristin Benedek
caught a whiff of what smelled like a barnyard as she and her husband,
Gerry Kuzyk, hunted sheep at 6,000 feet in the mountains of the south
Yukon. They followed the scent to a melting patch of ice covered in
caribou dung. "It was really odd, because I knew there hadn't been
caribou in the area for at least 100 years," recalls Kuzyk, then a
wildlife biologist with the Yukon government.
Caribou cake. Returning a week later, he found "what looked like a
pencil with string wrapped around it." It turned out to be a
4,300-year-old atlatl, or spear thrower. Further investigation of the
ice patch�and scores of others around the region�revealed icy layer
cakes filled with caribou remains and human detritus chronicling 7,800
years of changing hunting practices.
Scientists now believe ancient caribou and other animals flocked to the
ice each summer to cool down and escape swarming mosquitoes and flies.
Hunters followed the game. They returned for centuries and discarded
some equipment in the ice. "We've got people hunting with throwing darts
up until 1,200 years ago," says Hare, who now oversees the research
project. "Then we see the first appearance of the bow and arrow about
1,300 years ago. And by 1,200 years ago, there's no more throwing
darts."
Now scientists are trying to make the search less a matter of luck. They
are developing sophisticated computer models that combine data on where
glaciers are melting fastest and where humans and animals are known to
have migrated to pinpoint the best places to search in Alaska's Wrangell
and St. Elias mountain ranges�the United States' most glaciated
terrain�and in the Andes. Johan Reinhard thinks the fast- thawing
European Alps could also deliver more findings, perhaps as exquisite as
the Ice Man. "Global warming is providing us high-altitude
archaeologists with some fantastic opportunities right now. We're
probably about the only ones happy about it."
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
Of the three lying politicians, which liar would you take?
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Hall" <[email protected]>
To: "FoRK" <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:23 PM
Subject: RE: Goodbye Global Warming
> "I did not have sex with that woman."
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
> Mr.
> > FoRK
> > Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 2:12 PM
> > To: FoRK
> > Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
> >
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "John Hall" <[email protected]>
> >
> > > A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
> > > would have had to invent it.
> > A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
>
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
At 5:22 PM -0400 on 9/23/02, Tom wrote:
> --]> A Green once said that if the Spotted Owl hadn't existed they
> --]> would have had to invent it.
> --]A Republican once said "I am not a crook".
> --]
>
> Oh great, another round of Lableisms....Let me know when you get back to
> real data..
Not me. I have another one, instead:
Green = Red.
;-).
Cheers,
RAH
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
At 2:57 PM -0700 on 9/23/02, Mr. FoRK wrote:
> I just had a run-in with a neighbor whom I've never met before who
> pigeonholed me within one minute after I asked a question - he said 'Are you
> one of them environmentalists?' <snip>
>
> Sheesh... I've been out of work too long...
We'll ignore the possibility of a correlation here in the interest of
charity...
Cheers,
RAH
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Re: How about subsidizing SSL access to Google?
On Mon, 23 Sep 2002, Gordon Mohr wrote:
--]
--]The best we can hope is that technological cleverness, by raising the
--]costs of oppression or by provoking intolerable oppression, brings
--]social liberalization sooner rather than later.
In a very real sense we are still playing the "stone hurst man, man wears
hide, stone dont hurt no more so now we use arrows, arrows go thru hide
dang lets try this chain mail stuff, arrows dont go thru chain mail so now
we try crafting long spears with chain ripping heads, hey there buddy try
that against my plate mail, well F you and the horse you plated try doging
a bullets, holy shit where is my kevlar, does you kevlar stop nukes..."
game.
In this mad mad mad mad james burkian cum chucky darwin world there is no
rest for either the wicked or the nonwicked, there is just the ramp up to
the Brand New Jimmiez.
the trick I think should all be learning is not so much looking for the
THE KILLER APP but instead to look for the "really cool app that mutates
to meet changes"
Bascialy give china no choise but to shoot its own head off to stop the
music.
bang bang ... have a nice day.
-tom
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
On Monday, September 23, 2002, at 03:25 PM, R. A. Hettinga wrote:
> Green = Red.
Capitalist = Nazi.
Information content of the above statements === 0.
Meanwhile, the angels of light (tm) are having a great knock-down
drag-out with the eldrich kings of .NET on XML-DEV.
-- whump
----
Bill Humphries <[email protected]>
http://www.whump.com/moreLikeThis/
| 0 |
Re: Goodbye Global Warming
Mr. FoRK:
>Of the three lying politicians, which liar would you take?
No, no. The riddle is, asking only one question, how
do you determine which is which? "If I were to ask
you whether he would say you were a crook, or if the
other had sex ..?"
_________________________________________________________________
Send and receive Hotmail on your mobile device: http://mobile.msn.com
| 0 |
Re: How about subsidizing SSL access to Google?
On Monday, September 23, 2002, at 06:51 PM, Tom wrote:
> Bascialy give china no choise but to shoot its own head off to stop the
> music.
Or we could have the audacity to tell them to shape up or get cut out
of the global marbles game. Unfortunately that model only seems to
apply to despots with oil and WMDs, rather than despots with WMDs.
-- whump
| 0 |
RE: Goodbye Global Warming
funny. i read it as green = red, as in accounting, as in fiscally
irresponsible. which do you think is the worse indictment - overregulation
or overspending? there are many (dickheads) who buy into the
neo-conservative media's (fox's) definiton of "liberal" as "one who seeks to
impose both."
hannity and glove.
best quote, wish i could remember who said it: "we tend to describe our own
party by its ideals and our opponents' party by its reality."
geege
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]On Behalf Of Bill
Humphries
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 10:00 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Goodbye Global Warming
On Monday, September 23, 2002, at 03:25 PM, R. A. Hettinga wrote:
> Green = Red.
Capitalist = Nazi.
Information content of the above statements === 0.
Meanwhile, the angels of light (tm) are having a great knock-down
drag-out with the eldrich kings of .NET on XML-DEV.
-- whump
----
Bill Humphries <[email protected]>
http://www.whump.com/moreLikeThis/
| 0 |
Re: Pluck and Luck
At 5:29 PM -0700 on 9/23/02, John Hall wrote:
> Rawls claims Merit doesn't exist.
Nozick claims that Rawls doesn't exist.
God says that Nozick is dead?
:-).
Cheers,
RAH
Quine, of course, read the Herald, not the Globe. With him and Nozick went
political "diversity" at Hahvahd...
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
RE: Comrade Communism (was Re: Crony Capitalism (was RE: sed
At 7:44 PM -0400 on 9/23/02, Geege Schuman wrote:
> First, misattribution.
My apologies. Rave on...
Cheers,
RAH
"Where all the children are above average..."
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
liberal defnitions
Depends on how much over spending vs. how much (and what type) over
regulation.
The biggest problem with over regulation is the costs can be invisible.
It also has the ability to single out particular people, while over
spending spreads the damage more evenly. Rent control would be an
example of a regulation solution that is in general worse than spending
tons of money on public housing.
As for the definition of a liberal being someone who seeks to impose
both, I find no fault in that definition whatsoever. The opinion that
EITHER we are spending too much OR we have too much regulation is pretty
much anathema to liberal politics.
Finally, those who argue that there are private replacements for much
government regulation are not saying that a state of nature (no private
replacements, no government regulation) is better than government
regulation itself.
And in my experience people who label themselves 'Green' (which does not
include everyone who loves trees and thinks smokestacks are ugly) is a
watermelon.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Geege
> Schuman
>
> funny. i read it as green = red, as in accounting, as in fiscally
> irresponsible. which do you think is the worse indictment -
> overregulation
> or overspending? there are many (dickheads) who buy into the
> neo-conservative media's (fox's) definiton of "liberal" as "one who
seeks
> to
> impose both."
| 0 |
Re: flavor cystals
It's only 64kbps, but http://noise.ktru.org/ can be tasty. Presently
playing Fille Qui Mousse, Collage in Progress, and other happy nibbles.
Sounds a bit like The Avalanches, but that will change soon.
Cheers,
Wayne
| 0 |
RE: liberal defnitions
per john hall:
"The opinion that EITHER we are spending too much OR we have too much
regulation is pretty
much anathema to liberal politics."
no it's not.
geege
| 0 |
RE: liberal defnitions
from slate's "today's papers":
The New York Times and Los Angeles Times both lead with word that
a federal judge ruled yesterday that the nation's largest
national gas pipeline company, El Paso, illegally withheld gas
from the market during California's energy squeeze in 2000-01.
The judge concluded that El Paso left 21 percent of its capacity
in the state off-line, thus driving up the price of gas and
helping to induce rolling blackouts.
and this is the product of overregulation?
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]On Behalf Of John
Hall
Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 11:57 PM
To: FoRK
Subject: liberal defnitions
Depends on how much over spending vs. how much (and what type) over
regulation.
The biggest problem with over regulation is the costs can be invisible.
It also has the ability to single out particular people, while over
spending spreads the damage more evenly. Rent control would be an
example of a regulation solution that is in general worse than spending
tons of money on public housing.
As for the definition of a liberal being someone who seeks to impose
both, I find no fault in that definition whatsoever. The opinion that
EITHER we are spending too much OR we have too much regulation is pretty
much anathema to liberal politics.
Finally, those who argue that there are private replacements for much
government regulation are not saying that a state of nature (no private
replacements, no government regulation) is better than government
regulation itself.
And in my experience people who label themselves 'Green' (which does not
include everyone who loves trees and thinks smokestacks are ugly) is a
watermelon.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Geege
> Schuman
>
> funny. i read it as green = red, as in accounting, as in fiscally
> irresponsible. which do you think is the worse indictment -
> overregulation
> or overspending? there are many (dickheads) who buy into the
> neo-conservative media's (fox's) definiton of "liberal" as "one who
seeks
> to
> impose both."
| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
In a message dated 9/23/2002 6:30:31 PM, [email protected] writes:
> why you're writing with a double of scotch :-)
because, obviously, after the inevitable second double, you won't remember
anything you say unless you write it down :-)
Tom
| 0 |
Re: 2002.06.00.00
On Tue, 24 Sep 2002 [email protected] wrote:
--]Klez, most likely. It'll pick up your address and send mail to all your
--]friends, and your strangers, as if coming from you. Nice way to lose friends
--]and meet strangers. Better than typing gibberish (or Hemingway, but I repeat
--]myself) in a bar with a double of scotch.
Friends dont let friends use Outlook....even after a douly shot of the
scotch with a chaser.
All hands on the stinky one.
-tom(the other tommeat)
| 0 |
A different sort of Fox News
This was just *too* funny.. rotflma.
http://www.ozyandmillie.org/comics/om20020924.gif
--
#ken P-)}
Ken Coar, Sanagendamgagwedweinini http://Golux.Com/coar/
Author, developer, opinionist http://Apache-Server.Com/
"Millennium hand and shrimp!"
| 0 |
"The Next World Order
http://newyorker.com/fact/content/?020401fa_FACT1
The New Yorker
THE NEXT WORLD ORDER
by NICHOLAS LEMANN
The Bush Administration may have a brand-new doctrine of power.
Issue of 2002-04-01
Posted 2002-03-25
When there is a change of command-and not just in government-the new people
often persuade themselves that the old people were much worse than anyone
suspected. This feeling seems especially intense in the Bush
Administration, perhaps because Bill Clinton has been bracketed by a
father-son team. It's easy for people in the Administration to believe
that, after an unfortunate eight-year interlude, the Bush family has
resumed its governance-and about time, too.
The Bush Administration's sense that the Clinton years were a waste, or
worse, is strongest in the realms of foreign policy and military affairs.
Republicans tend to regard Democrats as untrustworthy in defense and
foreign policy, anyway, in ways that coincide with what people think of as
Clinton's weak points: an eagerness to please, a lack of discipline.
Condoleezza Rice, Bush's national-security adviser, wrote an article in
Foreign Affairs two years ago in which she contemptuously accused Clinton
of "an extraordinary neglect of the fiduciary responsibilities of the
commander in chief." Most of the top figures in foreign affairs in this
Administration also served under the President's father. They took office
last year, after what they regard as eight years of small-time flyswatting
by Clinton, thinking that they were picking up where they'd left off.
Not long ago, I had lunch with-sorry!-a senior Administration
foreign-policy official, at a restaurant in Washington called the Oval
Room. Early in the lunch, he handed me a twenty-seven- page report, whose
cover bore the seal of the Department of Defense, an outline map of the
world, and these words:
Defense Strategy for the 1990s:
The Regional Defense Strategy
Secretary of Defense
Dick Cheney
January 1993
One of the difficulties of working at the highest level of government is
communicating its drama. Actors, professional athletes, and even elected
politicians train for years, go through a great winnowing, and then perform
publicly. People who have titles like Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense
are just as ambitious and competitive, have worked just as long and hard,
and are often playing for even higher stakes-but what they do all day is go
to meetings and write memos and prepare briefings. How, possibly, to
explain that some of the documents, including the report that the senior
official handed me, which was physically indistinguishable from a
high-school term paper, represent the government version of playing
Carnegie Hall?
After the fall of the Berlin Wall, Dick Cheney, then the Secretary of
Defense, set up a "shop," as they say, to think about American foreign
policy after the Cold War, at the grand strategic level. The project, whose
existence was kept quiet, included people who are now back in the game, at
a higher level: among them, Paul Wolfowitz, the Deputy Secretary of
Defense; Lewis Libby, Cheney's chief of staff; and Eric Edelman, a senior
foreign-policy adviser to Cheney-generally speaking, a cohesive group of
conservatives who regard themselves as bigger-thinking, tougher-minded, and
intellectually bolder than most other people in Washington. (Donald
Rumsfeld, the Secretary of Defense, shares these characteristics, and has
been closely associated with Cheney for more than thirty years.) Colin
Powell, then the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, mounted a
competing, and presumably more ideologically moderate, effort to reimagine
American foreign policy and defense. A date was set-May 21, 1990-on which
each team would brief Cheney for an hour; Cheney would then brief President
Bush, after which Bush would make a foreign-policy address unveiling the
new grand strategy.
Everybody worked for months on the "five-twenty-one brief," with a sense
that the shape of the post-Cold War world was at stake. When Wolfowitz and
Powell arrived at Cheney's office on May 21st, Wolfowitz went first, but
his briefing lasted far beyond the allotted hour, and Cheney (a hawk who,
perhaps, liked what he was hearing) did not call time on him. Powell didn't
get to present his alternate version of the future of the United States in
the world until a couple of weeks later. Cheney briefed President Bush,
using material mostly from Wolfowitz, and Bush prepared his major
foreign-policy address. But he delivered it on August 2, 1990, the day that
Iraq invaded Kuwait, so nobody noticed.
The team kept working. In 1992, the Times got its hands on a version of the
material, and published a front-page story saying that the Pentagon
envisioned a future in which the United States could, and should, prevent
any other nation or alliance from becoming a great power. A few weeks of
controversy ensued about the Bush Administration's hawks being
"unilateral"-controversy that Cheney's people put an end to with denials
and the counter-leak of an edited, softer version of the same material.
As it became apparent that Bush was going to lose to Clinton, the Cheney
team's efforts took on the quality of a parting shot. The report that the
senior official handed me at lunch had been issued only a few days before
Clinton took office. It is a somewhat bland, opaque document-a "scrubbed,"
meaning unclassified, version of something more candid-but it contained the
essential ideas of "shaping," rather than reacting to, the rest of the
world, and of preventing the rise of other superpowers. Its tone is one of
skepticism about diplomatic partnerships. A more forthright version of the
same ideas can be found in a short book titled "From Containment to Global
Leadership?," which Zalmay Khalilzad, who joined Cheney's team in 1991 and
is now special envoy to Afghanistan, published a couple of years into the
Clinton Administration, when he was out of government. It recommends that
the United States "preclude the rise of another global rival for the
indefinite future." Khalilzad writes, "It is a vital U.S. interest to
preclude such a development-i.e., to be willing to use force if necessary
for the purpose."
When George W. Bush was campaigning for President, he and the people around
him didn't seem to be proposing a great doctrinal shift, along the lines of
the policy of containment of the Soviet Union's sphere of influence which
the United States maintained during the Cold War. In his first major
foreign-policy speech, delivered in November of 1999, Bush declared that "a
President must be a clear-eyed realist," a formulation that seems to
connote an absence of world-remaking ambition. "Realism" is exactly the
foreign-policy doctrine that Cheney's Pentagon team rejected, partly
because it posits the impossibility of any one country's ever dominating
world affairs for any length of time.
One gets many reminders in Washington these days of how much the terrorist
attacks of September 11th have changed official foreign-policy thinking.
Any chief executive, of either party, would probably have done what Bush
has done so far-made war on the Taliban and Al Qaeda and enhanced domestic
security. It is only now, six months after the attacks, that we are truly
entering the realm of Presidential choice, and all indications are that
Bush is going to use September 11th as the occasion to launch a new,
aggressive American foreign policy that would represent a broad change in
direction rather than a specific war on terrorism. All his rhetoric,
especially in the two addresses he has given to joint sessions of Congress
since September 11th, and all the information about his state of mind which
his aides have leaked, indicate that he sees this as the nation's moment of
destiny-a perception that the people around him seem to be encouraging,
because it enhances Bush's stature and opens the way to more assertive
policymaking.
Inside government, the reason September 11th appears to have been "a
transformative moment," as the senior official I had lunch with put it, is
not so much that it revealed the existence of a threat of which officials
had previously been unaware as that it drastically reduced the American
public's usual resistance to American military involvement overseas, at
least for a while. The Clinton Administration, beginning with the "Black
Hawk Down" operation in Mogadishu, during its first year, operated on the
conviction that Americans were highly averse to casualties; the all-bombing
Kosovo operation, in Clinton's next-to-last year, was the ideal foreign
military adventure. Now that the United States has been attacked, the
options are much broader. The senior official approvingly mentioned a 1999
study of casualty aversion by the Triangle Institute for Security Studies,
which argued that the "mass public" is much less casualty-averse than the
military or the civilian �lite believes; for example, the study showed that
the public would tolerate thirty thousand deaths in a military operation to
prevent Iraq from acquiring weapons of mass destruction. (The American
death total in the Vietnam War was about fifty-eight thousand.) September
11th presumably reduced casualty aversion even further.
Recently, I went to the White House to interview Condoleezza Rice. Rice's
Foreign Affairs article from 2000 begins with this declaration: "The United
States has found it exceedingly difficult to define its 'national interest'
in the absence of Soviet power." I asked her whether that is still the
case. "I think the difficulty has passed in defining a role," she said
immediately. "I think September 11th was one of those great earthquakes
that clarify and sharpen. Events are in much sharper relief." Like Bush,
she said that opposing terrorism and preventing the accumulation of weapons
of mass destruction "in the hands of irresponsible states" now define the
national interest. (The latter goal, by the way, is new-in Bush's speech to
Congress on September 20th, America's sole grand purpose was ending
terrorism.) We talked in her West Wing office; its tall windows face the
part of the White House grounds where television reporters do their
standups. In her bearing, Rice seemed less crisply military than she does
in public. She looked a little tired, but she was projecting a kind of
missionary calm, rather than belligerence.
In the Foreign Affairs article, Rice came across as a classic realist,
putting forth "the notions of power politics, great powers, and power
balances" as the proper central concerns of the United States. Now she
sounded as if she had moved closer to the one-power idea that Cheney's
Pentagon team proposed ten years ago-or, at least, to the idea that the
other great powers are now in harmony with the United States, because of
the terrorist attacks, and can be induced to remain so. "Theoretically, the
realists would predict that when you have a great power like the United
States it would not be long before you had other great powers rising to
challenge it or trying to balance against it," Rice said. "And I think what
you're seeing is that there's at least a predilection this time to move to
productive and co�perative relations with the United States, rather than to
try to balance the United States. I actually think that statecraft matters
in how it all comes out. It's not all foreordained."
Rice said that she had called together the senior staff people of the
National Security Council and asked them to think seriously about "how do
you capitalize on these opportunities" to fundamentally change American
doctrine, and the shape of the world, in the wake of September 11th. "I
really think this period is analogous to 1945 to 1947," she said-that is,
the period when the containment doctrine took shape-"in that the events so
clearly demonstrated that there is a big global threat, and that it's a big
global threat to a lot of countries that you would not have normally
thought of as being in the coalition. That has started shifting the
tectonic plates in international politics. And it's important to try to
seize on that and position American interests and institutions and all of
that before they harden again."
The National Security Council is legally required to produce an annual
document called the National Security Strategy, stating the over-all goals
of American policy-another government report whose importance is great but
not obvious. The Bush Administration did not produce one last year, as the
Clinton Administration did not in its first year. Rice said that she is
working on the report now.
"There are two ways to handle this document," she told me. "One is to do it
in a kind of minimalist way and just get it out. But it's our view that,
since this is going to be the first one for the Bush Administration, it's
important. An awful lot has happened since we started this process, prior
to 9/11. I can't give you a certain date when it's going to be out, but I
would think sometime this spring. And it's important that it be a real
statement of what the Bush Administration sees as the strategic direction
that it's going."
It seems clear already that Rice will set forth the hope of a more dominant
American role in the world than she might have a couple of years ago. Some
questions that don't appear to be settled yet, but are obviously being
asked, are how much the United States is willing to operate alone in
foreign affairs, and how much change it is willing to try to engender
inside other countries-and to what end, and with what means. The leak a
couple of weeks ago of a new American nuclear posture, adding offensive
capability against "rogue states," departed from decades of official
adherence to a purely defensive position, and was just one indication of
the scope of the reconsideration that is going on. Is the United States now
in a position to be redrawing regional maps, especially in the Middle East,
and replacing governments by force? Nobody thought that the Bush
Administration would be thinking in such ambitious terms, but plainly it
is, and with the internal debate to the right of where it was only a few
months ago.
Just before the 2000 election, a Republican foreign-policy figure suggested
to me that a good indication of a Bush Administration's direction in
foreign affairs would be who got a higher-ranking job, Paul Wolfowitz or
Richard Haass. Haass is another veteran of the first Bush Administration,
and an intellectual like Wolfowitz, but much more moderate. In 1997, he
published a book titled "The Reluctant Sheriff," in which he poked a little
fun at Wolfowitz's famous strategy briefing of the early nineties (he
called it the "Pentagon Paper") and disagreed with its idea that the United
States should try to be the world's only great power over the long term.
"For better or worse, such a goal is beyond our reach," Haass wrote. "It
simply is not doable." Elsewhere in the book, he disagreed with another of
the Wolfowitz team's main ideas, that of the United States expanding the
"democratic zone of peace": "Primacy is not to be confused with hegemony.
The United States cannot compel others to become more democratic." Haass
argued that the United States is becoming less dominant in the world, not
more, and suggested "a revival of what might be called traditional
great-power politics."
Wolfowitz got a higher-ranking job than Haass: he is Deputy Secretary of
Defense, and Haass is Director of Policy Planning for the State Department-
in effect, Colin Powell's big-think guy. Recently, I went to see him in his
office at the State Department. On the wall of his waiting room was an
array of photographs of every past director of the policy-planning staff,
beginning with George Kennan, the father of the containment doctrine and
the first holder of the office that Haass now occupies.
It's another indication of the way things are moving in Washington that
Haass seems to have become more hawkish. I mentioned the title of his book.
"Using the word 'reluctant' was itself reflective of a period when foreign
policy seemed secondary, and sacrificing for foreign policy was a hard case
to make," he said. "It was written when Bill Clinton was saying, 'It's the
economy, stupid'-not 'It's the world, stupid.' Two things are very
different now. One, the President has a much easier time making the case
that foreign policy matters. Second, at the top of the national-security
charts is this notion of weapons of mass destruction and terrorism."
I asked Haass whether there is a doctrine emerging that is as broad as
Kennan's containment. "I think there is," he said. "What you're seeing from
this Administration is the emergence of a new principle or body of
ideas-I'm not sure it constitutes a doctrine-about what you might call the
limits of sovereignty. Sovereignty entails obligations. One is not to
massacre your own people. Another is not to support terrorism in any way.
If a government fails to meet these obligations, then it forfeits some of
the normal advantages of sovereignty, including the right to be left alone
inside your own territory. Other governments, including the United States,
gain the right to intervene. In the case of terrorism, this can even lead
to a right of preventive, or peremptory, self-defense. You essentially can
act in anticipation if you have grounds to think it's a question of when,
and not if, you're going to be attacked."
Clearly, Haass was thinking of Iraq. "I don't think the American public
needs a lot of persuading about the evil that is Saddam Hussein," he said.
"Also, I'd fully expect the President and his chief lieutenants to make the
case. Public opinion can be changed. We'd be able to make the case that
this isn't a discretionary action but one done in self-defense."
On the larger issue of the American role in the world, Haass was still
maintaining some distance from the hawks. He had made a speech not long
before called "Imperial America," but he told me that there is a big
difference between imperial and imperialist. "I just think that we have to
be a little bit careful," he said. "Great as our advantages are, there are
still limits. We have to have allies. We can't impose our ideas on
everyone. We don't want to be fighting wars alone, so we need others to
join us. American leadership, yes; but not American unilateralism. It has
to be multilateral. We can't win the war against terror alone. We can't
send forces everywhere. It really does have to be a collaborative endeavor."
He stopped for a moment. "Is there a successor idea to containment? I think
there is," he said. "It is the idea of integration. The goal of U.S.
foreign policy should be to persuade the other major powers to sign on to
certain key ideas as to how the world should operate: opposition to
terrorism and weapons of mass destruction, support for free trade,
democracy, markets. Integration is about locking them into these policies
and then building institutions that lock them in even more."
The first, but by no means the last, obvious manifestation of a new
American foreign policy will be the effort to remove Saddam Hussein. What
the United States does in an Iraq operation will very likely dwarf what's
been done so far in Afghanistan, both in terms of the scale of the
operation itself and in terms of its aftermath.
Several weeks ago, Ahmad Chalabi, the head of the Iraqi National Congress,
the Iraqi opposition party, came through Washington with an entourage of
his aides. Chalabi went to the State Department and the White House to ask,
evidently successfully, for more American funding. His main public event
was a panel discussion at the American Enterprise Institute. Chalabi's
leading supporter in town, Richard Perle, the prominent hawk and former
Defense Department official, acted as moderator. Smiling and supremely
confident, Perle opened the discussion by saying, "Evidence is mounting
that the Administration is looking very carefully at strategies for dealing
with Saddam Hussein." The war on terrorism, he said, will not be complete
"until Saddam is successfully dealt with. And that means replacing his
regime. . . . That action will be taken, I have no doubt."
Chalabi, who lives in London, is a charming, suave middle-aged man with a
twinkle in his eye. He was dressed in a double-breasted pin-striped suit
and a striped shirt with a white spread collar. Although he and his
supporters argue that the Iraqi National Congress, with sufficient American
support, can defeat Saddam just as the Northern Alliance defeated the
Taliban in Afghanistan, this view hasn't won over most people in
Washington. It isn't just that Chalabi doesn't look the part of a rebel
military leader ("He could fight you for the last petit four on the tray
over tea at the Savoy, but that's about it," one skeptical former Pentagon
official told me), or that he isn't in Iraq. It's also that Saddam's
military is perhaps ten times the size that the Taliban's was, and has been
quite successful at putting down revolts over the last decade. The United
States left Iraq in 1991 believing that Saddam might soon fall to an
internal rebellion; Chalabi's supporters believe that Saddam is much weaker
now, and that even signs that a serious operation was in the offing could
finish him off. But non-true believers seem to be coming around to the idea
that a military operation against Saddam would mean the deployment of
anywhere from a hundred thousand to three hundred thousand American ground
troops.
Kenneth Pollack, a former C.I.A. analyst who was the National Security
Council's staff expert on Iraq during the last years of the Clinton
Administration, recently caused a stir in the foreign-policy world by
publishing an article in Foreign Affairs calling for war against Saddam.
This was noteworthy because three years ago Pollack and two co-authors
published an article, also in Foreign Affairs, arguing that the Iraqi
National Congress was incapable of defeating Saddam. Pollack still doesn't
think Chalabi can do the job. He believes that it would require a
substantial American ground, air, and sea force, closer in size to the one
we used in Kuwait in 1990-91 than to the one we are using now in
Afghanistan.
Pollack, who is trim, quick, and crisp, is obviously a man who has given a
briefing or two in his day. When I went to see him at his office in
Washington, with a little encouragement he got out from behind his desk and
walked over to his office wall, where three maps of the Middle East were
hanging. "The only way to do it is a full-scale invasion," he said, using a
pen as a pointer. "We're talking about two grand corps, two to three
hundred thousand people altogether. The population is here, in the
Tigris-Euphrates valley." He pointed to the area between Baghdad and Basra.
"Ideally, you'd have the Saudis on board." He pointed to the Prince Sultan
airbase, near Riyadh. "You could make Kuwait the base, but it's much easier
in Saudi. You need to take western Iraq and southern Iraq"-pointing
again-"because otherwise they'll fire Scuds at Israel and at the Saudi oil
fields. You probably want to prevent Iraq from blowing up its own oil
fields, so troops have to occupy them. And you need troops to defend the
Kurds in northern Iraq." Point, point. "You go in as hard as you can, as
fast as you can." He slapped his hand on the top of his desk. "You get the
enemy to divide his forces, by threatening him in two places at once." His
hand hit the desk again, hard. "Then you crush him." Smack.
That would be a reverberating blow. The United States has already removed
the government of one country, Afghanistan, the new government is obviously
shaky, and American military operations there are not completed. Pakistan,
which before September 11th clearly met the new test of national
unacceptability (it both harbors terrorists and has weapons of mass
destruction), will also require long-term attention, since the country is
not wholly under the control of the government, as the murder of Daniel
Pearl demonstrated, and even parts of the government, like the intelligence
service, may not be entirely under the control of the President. In Iraq,
if America invades and brings down Saddam, a new government must be
established-an enormous long-term task in a country where there is no
obvious, plausible new leader. The prospective Iraq operation has drawn
strong objections from the neighboring nations, one of which, Russia, is a
nuclear superpower. An invasion would have a huge effect on the internal
affairs of all the biggest Middle Eastern nations: Iran, Turkey, Saudi
Arabia, and even Egypt. Events have forced the Administration to become
directly involved in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, as it hadn't wanted
to do. So it's really the entire region that is in play, in much the way
that Europe was immediately after the Second World War.
In September, Bush rejected Paul Wolfowitz's recommendation of immediate
moves against Iraq. That the President seems to have changed his mind is an
indication, in part, of the bureaucratic skill of the Administration's
conservatives. "These guys are relentless," one former official, who is
close to the high command at the State Department, told me. "Resistance is
futile." The conservatives' other weapon, besides relentlessness, is
intellectualism. Colin Powell tends to think case by case, and since
September 11th the conservatives have outflanked him by producing at least
the beginning of a coherent, hawkish world view whose acceptance
practically requires invading Iraq. If the United States applies the
doctrines of Cheney's old Pentagon team, "shaping" and expanding "the zone
of democracy," the implications would extend far beyond that one operation.
The outside experts on the Middle East who have the most credibility with
the Administration seem to be Bernard Lewis, of Princeton, and Fouad Ajami,
of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, both of whom
see the Arab Middle East as a region in need of radical remediation. Lewis
was invited to the White House in December to brief the senior
foreign-policy staff. "One point he made is, Look, in that part of the
world, nothing matters more than resolute will and force," the senior
official I had lunch with told me-in other words, the United States needn't
proceed gingerly for fear of inflaming the "Arab street," as long as it is
prepared to be strong. The senior official also recommended as interesting
thinkers on the Middle East Charles Hill, of Yale, who in a recent essay
declared, "Every regime of the Arab-Islamic world has proved a failure,"
and Reuel Marc Gerecht, of the American Enterprise Institute, who published
an article in The Weekly Standard about the need for a change of regime in
Iran and Syria. (Those goals, Gerecht told me when we spoke, could be
accomplished through pressure short of an invasion.)
Several people I spoke with predicted that most, or even all, of the
nations that loudly oppose an invasion of Iraq would privately cheer it on,
if they felt certain that this time the Americans were really going to
finish the job. One purpose of Vice-President Cheney's recent diplomatic
tour of the region was to offer assurances on that matter, while gamely
absorbing all the public criticism of an Iraq operation. In any event, the
Administration appears to be committed to acting forcefully in advance of
the world's approval. When I spoke to Condoleezza Rice, she said that the
United States should assemble "coalitions of the willing" to support its
actions, rather than feel it has to work within the existing infrastructure
of international treaties and organizations. An invasion of Iraq would test
that policy in more ways than one: the Administration would be betting that
it can continue to eliminate Al Qaeda cells in countries that publicly
opposed the Iraq operation.
When the Administration submitted its budget earlier this year, it asked
for a forty-eight-billion-dollar increase in defense spending for fiscal
2003, which begins in October, 2002. Much of that sum would go to improve
military pay and benefits, but ten billion dollars of it is designated as
an unspecified contingency fund for further operations in the war on
terrorism. That's probably at least the initial funding for an invasion of
Iraq.
This spring, the Administration will be talking to other countries about
the invasion, trying to secure basing and overflight privileges, while Bush
builds up a rhetorical case for it by giving speeches about the
unacceptability of developing weapons of mass destruction. A drama
involving weapons inspections in Iraq will play itself out over the spring
and summer, and will end with the United States declaring that the terms
that Saddam offers for the inspections, involving delays and restrictions,
are unacceptable. Then, probably in the late summer or early fall, the
enormous troop positioning, which will take months, will begin. The
Administration obviously feels confident that the United States can
effectively parry whatever aggressive actions Saddam takes during the troop
buildup, and hopes that its moves will destabilize Iraq enough to cause the
Republican Guard, the military key to the country, to turn against Saddam
and topple him on its own. But the chain of events leading inexorably to a
full-scale American invasion, if it hasn't already begun, evidently will
begin soon.
Lewis (Scooter) Libby, who was the principal drafter of Cheney's
future-of-the-world documents during the first Bush Administration, now
works in an office in the Old Executive Office Building, overlooking the
West Wing, where he has a second, smaller office. A packet of
public-relations material prompted by the recent paperback publication of
his 1996 novel, "The Apprentice," quotes the Times' calling him "Dick
Cheney's Dick Cheney," which seems like an apt description: he appears
absolutely sure of himself, and, whether by coincidence or as a result of
the influence of his boss, speaks in a tough, confidential, gravelly
rumble. Like Condoleezza Rice and Bush himself, he gives the impression of
having calmly accepted the idea that the project of war and reconstruction
which the Administration has now taken on may be a little exhausting for
those charged with carrying it out but is unquestionably right, the only
truly prudent course.
When I went to see Libby, not long ago, I asked him whether, before
September 11th, American policy toward terrorism should have been
different. He went to his desk and got out a large black loose-leaf binder,
filled with typewritten sheets interspersed with foldout maps of the Middle
East. He looked through it for a long minute, formulating his answer.
"Let us stack it up," he said at last. "Somalia, 1993; 1994, the discovery
of the Al Qaeda-related plot in the Philippines; 1993, the World Trade
Center, first bombing; 1993, the attempt to assassinate President Bush,
former President Bush, and the lack of response to that, the lack of a
serious response to that; 1995, the Riyadh bombing; 1996, the Khobar
bombing; 1998, the Kenyan embassy bombing and the Tanzanian embassy
bombing; 1999, the plot to launch millennium attacks; 2000, the bombing of
the Cole. Throughout this period, infractions on inspections by the Iraqis,
and eventually the withdrawal of the entire inspection regime; and the
failure to respond significantly to Iraqi incursions in the Kurdish areas.
No one would say these challenges posed easy problems, but if you take that
long list and you ask, 'Did we respond in a way which discouraged people
from supporting terrorist activities, or activities clearly against our
interests? Did we help to shape the environment in a way which discouraged
further aggressions against U.S. interests?,' many observers conclude no,
and ask whether it was then easier for someone like Osama bin Laden to rise
up and say credibly, 'The Americans don't have the stomach to defend
themselves. They won't take casualties to defend their interests. They are
morally weak.' "
Libby insisted that the American response to September 11th has not been
standard or foreordained. "Look at what the President has done in
Afghanistan," he said, "and look at his speech to the joint session of
Congress"-meaning the State of the Union Message, in January. "He made it
clear that it's an important area. He made it clear that we believe in
expanding the zone of democracy even in this difficult part of the world.
He made it clear that we stand by our friends and defend our interests. And
he had the courage to identify those states which present a problem, and to
begin to build consensus for action that would need to be taken if there is
not a change of behavior on their part. Take the Afghan case, for example.
There are many other courses that the President could have taken. He could
have waited for juridical proof before we responded. He could have engaged
in long negotiations with the Taliban. He could have failed to seek a new
relationship with Pakistan, based on its past nuclear tests, or been so
afraid of weakening Pakistan that we didn't seek its help. This list could
go on to twice or three times the length I've mentioned so far. But,
instead, the President saw an opportunity to refashion relations while
standing up for our interests. The problem is complex, and we don't know
yet how it will end, but we have opened new prospects for relations not
only with Afghanistan, as important as it was as a threat, but with the
states of Central Asia, Pakistan, Russia, and, as it may develop, with the
states of Southwest Asia more generally."
We moved on to Iraq, and the question of what makes Saddam Hussein
unacceptable, in the Administration's eyes. "The issue is not inspections,"
Libby said. "The issue is the Iraqis' promise not to have weapons of mass
destruction, their promise to recognize the boundaries of Kuwait, their
promise not to threaten other countries, and other promises that they made
in '91, and a number of U.N. resolutions, including all the other problems
I listed. Whether it was wise or not-and that is the subject of debate-Iraq
was given a second chance to abide by international norms. It failed to
take that chance then, and annually for the next ten years."
"What's your level of confidence," I asked him, "that the current regime
will, in fact, change its behavior in a way that you will be satisfied by?"
He ran his hand over his face and then gave me a direct gaze and spoke
slowly and deliberately. "There is no basis in Iraq's past behavior to have
confidence in good-faith efforts on their part to change their behavior."
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
" | 0 |
RE: liberal defnitions
This situation wouldn't have happened in the first place if California
didn't have economically insane regulations. They created a regulatory
climate that facilitated this. So yes, it is the product of
over-regulation.
-James Rogers
[email protected]
On Tue, 2002-09-24 at 05:17, Geege Schuman wrote:
> from slate's "today's papers":
> The New York Times and Los Angeles Times both lead with word that
> a federal judge ruled yesterday that the nation's largest
> national gas pipeline company, El Paso, illegally withheld gas
> from the market during California's energy squeeze in 2000-01.
> The judge concluded that El Paso left 21 percent of its capacity
> in the state off-line, thus driving up the price of gas and
> helping to induce rolling blackouts.
>
> and this is the product of overregulation?
| 0 |
Re: [s-t] Scoot boss's wife orders hit.
---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Mon, 23 Sep 2002 09:52:44 -0700
From: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [s-t] Scoot boss's wife orders hit.
the "independent", a shopper's newspaper in the sf bay area, (the
operational definition of that media category is "no matter how hard
you try you can't get them to stop delivering it") had this story on
aug 24, 2002:
"Dot-com downturn linked to domestic violence"
Domestic-violence worker Kathy Black remembers watching the Nasdaq
take a nastydive on MSNBC, in March 2000.
"I knew then that we would have a lot of work on our hands," Black said,
referring to the caseload at La Casa de las Madres, the city's largest
organization serving women and children affected by domestic violence.
She was right.
Calls to La Casa's crisis line increased by 33% in the last financial
year, and the service saw a 10 percent increase in the demand for
beds, with 232 women and 215 children utilizing the shelter service.
...
Black said the dot-com collapse and a growing awareness of La Casa's
services were the two main reasons for the increase in calls.
She said many of her clients had partners who were employed in
service-industry jobs utilized by dot-com workers
...
On Mon, Sep 23, 2002 at 04:23:17PM +0100, Gordon Joly wrote:
>
>
>
> http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/low/england/2276467.stm
>
>
> Woman admits trying to hire hitman
>
> The former wife of an internet tycoon has admitted trying to hire a
> hitman to kill him after the breakdown of their 21-year marriage.
>
>
> --
> Linux User No. 256022///
> http://pobox.com/~gordo/
> [email protected]///
| 0 |
RE: liberal defnitions
Yes, it is. You just want to be called a liberal when you really
aren't.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Geege Schuman [mailto:[email protected]]
> Sent: Tuesday, September 24, 2002 5:12 AM
> To: [email protected]; FoRK
> Subject: RE: liberal defnitions
>
> per john hall:
> "The opinion that EITHER we are spending too much OR we have too much
> regulation is pretty
> much anathema to liberal politics."
>
> no it's not.
>
> geege
>
>
| 0 |
Re: liberal defnitions
In a message dated 9/24/2002 11:24:58 AM, [email protected] writes:
>This situation wouldn't have happened in the first place if California
>didn't have economically insane regulations. They created a regulatory
>climate that facilitated this. So yes, it is the product of
>over-regulation.
>
Which is to say, if you reduce the argument to absurdity, that law causes
crime.
(Yes, I agree that badly written law can make life so frustrating that people
have little choice but to subvery it if they want to get anything done. This
is also true of corporate policies, and all other attempts to regulate
conduct by rules. Rules just don't work well when situations are fluid or
ambiguous. But I don't think that the misbehavior of energy companies in
California can properly be called well-intentioned lawbreaking by parties who
were trying to do the right thing but could do so only by falling afoul of
some technicality.)
If you want to get to root causes, we should probably go to the slaying of
Abel by Cain. Perhaps we can figure out what went wrong then, and roll our
learning forward through history and create a FoRKtopia.
Nonpartisanly, which is to say casting stones on all houses, whether
bicameral or unicameral, built on sand or on rock, to the left of them or to
the right of them, of glass or brick or twig or straw,
Tom
| 0 |
CO2 and climate (was RE: Goodbye Global Warming)
On Mon, 2002-09-23 at 13:53, Jim Whitehead wrote:
>
> You have not explained why the increase in CO2 concentrations is not
> contributing to increasing global temperature.
There are a number of reasons to think that CO2 is not important to
controlling global temperature and that much of the CO2 increase may not
be anthropogenic. Some recent research points worth mentioning:
Recent high-resolution studies of historical CO2 concentrations and
temperatures over hundreds of thousands of years have shown a modest
correlation between the two. In a number of cases, CO2 level increases
are not in phase with temperature increases and actually trail the
increase in temperature by a short time i.e. increases in temperature
preceded increases in CO2 concentrations. The more studies that are done
of the geological record, the more it seems that CO2 concentrations are
correlated with temperature increases, but are not significantly
causative. There is a lot of evidence that CO2 levels are regulated in a
fairly stable fashion. I don't believe anyone really has an
authoritative answer as to exactly how this works yet.
With respect to absolute CO2 concentrations, it is also important to
point out that our best data to date suggests that they follow a fairly
regular cycle with a period of about 100,000 years. At previous cycle
peaks, the concentrations were similar to what they are now. If this
cycle has any validity (and we only have good data for 4-5 complete
cyclical periods, but which look surprisingly regular in shape and
time), then we should be almost exactly at a peak right now. As it
happens, current CO2 concentrations are within 10% of other previous
cyclical concentration peaks for which we have good data. In other
words, we may be adding to the CO2 levels, but it looks a lot like we
would be building a molehill on top of a mountain in the historical
record. At the very least, there is nothing anomalous about current CO2
concentrations.
Also, CO2 levels interact with the biosphere in a manner that ultimately
affects temperature. Again, the interaction is not entirely
predictable, but this is believed to be one of the regulating negative
feedback systems mentioned above.
Last, as greenhouse gases go, CO2 isn't particularly potent, although it
makes up for it in volume in some cases. Gases such as water and
methane have a far greater impact as greenhouse gases on a per molecule
basis. Water vapor may actually be the key greenhouse gas, something
that CO2 only indirectly effects through its interaction with the
biosphere.
CO2 was an easy mark for early environmentalism, but all the recent
studies and data I've seen gives me the impression that it is largely a
passenger on the climate ride rather than the driver. I certainly don't
think it is a healthy fixation if we're actually interested in
understanding warming trends.
Cheers,
-James Rogers
[email protected]
| 0 |
RE: liberal defnitions
Read the article. I'm afraid I don't understand how the transmission
prices could have hit $50/tcf.
But I'm also really leery of telling a pipeline company they have to run
a pipeline at a higher pressure and that they should forego maintenance.
We had a big pipeline explosion up here awhile ago.
So maybe the judge has a point. We'll see as the appeals work its way
out.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Geege Schuman [mailto:[email protected]]
> Sent: Tuesday, September 24, 2002 5:16 AM
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: RE: liberal defnitions
>
> from slate's "today's papers": The New York Times and Los Angeles
Times
> both lead with word that
> a federal judge ruled yesterday that the nation's largest
> national gas pipeline company, El Paso, illegally withheld gas
> from the market during California's energy squeeze in 2000-01.
> The judge concluded that El Paso left 21 percent of its capacity
> in the state off-line, thus driving up the price of gas and
> helping to induce rolling blackouts.
>
> and this is the product of overregulation?
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]On Behalf Of
John
> Hall
> Sent: Monday, September 23, 2002 11:57 PM
> To: FoRK
> Subject: liberal defnitions
>
>
> Depends on how much over spending vs. how much (and what type) over
> regulation.
>
> The biggest problem with over regulation is the costs can be
invisible.
> It also has the ability to single out particular people, while over
> spending spreads the damage more evenly. Rent control would be an
> example of a regulation solution that is in general worse than
spending
> tons of money on public housing.
>
> As for the definition of a liberal being someone who seeks to impose
> both, I find no fault in that definition whatsoever. The opinion that
> EITHER we are spending too much OR we have too much regulation is
pretty
> much anathema to liberal politics.
>
> Finally, those who argue that there are private replacements for much
> government regulation are not saying that a state of nature (no
private
> replacements, no government regulation) is better than government
> regulation itself.
>
> And in my experience people who label themselves 'Green' (which does
not
> include everyone who loves trees and thinks smokestacks are ugly) is a
> watermelon.
>
>
>
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
> Geege
> > Schuman
> >
> > funny. i read it as green = red, as in accounting, as in fiscally
> > irresponsible. which do you think is the worse indictment -
> > overregulation
> > or overspending? there are many (dickheads) who buy into the
> > neo-conservative media's (fox's) definiton of "liberal" as "one who
> seeks
> > to
> > impose both."
>
>
>
| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
> Proving, once again, that aviators get all the chicks...
Just as long as they have the wherewithal
for avgas, anyway.
I think Turpin once calculated that one
could do a decent amount of messing about
for about $30K of boat and $12K/year in
living expenses.
What are the equivalent figures for live
aboard aircraft?
-Dave
(How difficult would it be to find the
harbormaster, after mooring to the top
of the Empire State Building?)
| 0 |
Random hack Q: drawing on CDs with lasers?
O utensils of the world --
I wonder if it is possible to reverse-engineer the Reed-Solomon
error-correcting codes to create a bytestream such that, when burned
onto a CD, you can make out a picture in the diffraction pattern?
I suppose this is a modern equivalent to line-printer artwork; I was
imagining using a CD-RW drive to use the outer track, say, to spell out
the disc title, creation time, etc. It would sure beat feeding CDs
through a laser printer :-)
Rohit
| 0 |
Re: Random hack Q: drawing on CDs with lasers?
On Tue, 24 Sep 2002, Rohit Khare wrote:
> I suppose this is a modern equivalent to line-printer artwork; I was
> imagining using a CD-RW drive to use the outer track, say, to spell out
> the disc title, creation time, etc. It would sure beat feeding CDs
> through a laser printer :-)
There are commercial burners which can be labeled that way. Patterns in
the unburnt section.
| 0 |
Liberalism in America
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liberalism
propagandized as meddling
in truth, the middle
"American liberalism believes that in this respect it has made a major
contribution to the grand strategy of freedom. Where both capitalists and
socialists in the 1930's were trying to narrow the choice to either/or --
either laissez-faire capitalism or bureaucratic socialism -- the New Deal
persisted in its vigorous faith that human intelligence and social
experiment could work out a stable foundation for freedom in a context of
security and for security in a context of freedom. That faith remains the
best hope of free society today."
fluid yet crunchy,
gg
http://www.english.upenn.edu/~afilreis/50s/schleslib.html
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| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
Righ, somebody. Reminds me of the old Divorced Man's exposition of what
happened to him.
"First, you get a ring. Then you give it away. Then, you get a house. And
you give *that* away...."
Just kidding, Darling...
;-).
Cheers,
RAH
Who, um, doesn't own a house...
--- begin forwarded text
Date: Tue, 24 Sep 2002 20:12:12 -0400
From: Somebody
To: "R. A. Hettinga" <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
Bob,
Living aboard a Cessna 172 would be challenging, but I did meet a
couple at an airshow in Point Mugu in 1995 or so that had converted an
old seaplane (it was a bit larger than a PBY, I think) to something of a
floating, flying RV. They visited a lot of airshows and covered a lot of
miles. I'm sure maintenance (on a 50+ year old airframe), fuel (for two
large radial engines) insurance and other costs were out of my price
range, but what a hoot!
On a more realistic note, the flight to Half Moon bay was probably 2
hours of flight time at about $75/hour in the Cessna. Not exactly a
cheap date, but that's nothing compared to the money I've spent on her
since. (And loved every minute of it, Darling!!)
<Somebody>
"R. A. Hettinga" wrote:
> --- begin forwarded text
>
> Status: RO
> Delivered-To: [email protected]
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
> From: Dave Long <[email protected]>
> Sender: [email protected]
> Date: Tue, 24 Sep 2002 13:28:04 -0700
>
> > Proving, once again, that aviators get all the chicks...
>
> Just as long as they have the wherewithal
> for avgas, anyway.
>
> I think Turpin once calculated that one
> could do a decent amount of messing about
> for about $30K of boat and $12K/year in
> living expenses.
>
> What are the equivalent figures for live
> aboard aircraft?
>
> -Dave
>
> (How difficult would it be to find the
> harbormaster, after mooring to the top
> of the Empire State Building?)
>
> --- end forwarded text
>
> --
> -----------------
> R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
> The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
> 44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
> "... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
> [predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
> experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
--- end forwarded text
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
Digital radio playlists are prohibited?!
Anyone heard of this law before?
> Q. Can I get a playlist?
> A. We are unable to offer a playlist. The Digital Performance Right in
> Sound Recordings Act of 1995 passed by Congress prevents us from
> disclosing such information. The Digital Law states that if one is
> transmitting a digital signal, song information cannot be
> pre-announced. It is a Music Choice policy not to release a playlist of
> upcoming or previously played songs.
Recently, MusicChoice upgraded their website with a very important
service, as far as I'm concerned: real-time song info from their
website. My DirecTV receiver is up on a shelf (and its display scrolls
intermittently); and I'm surely not going to fire up my projector while
listening to the "radio", so I'm quite happy that I can retrieve r/t
song info with URLs like:
http://backstage.musicchoice.com/songid/channels/soundsoftheseasons.asp
http://backstage.musicchoice.com/songid/channels/rap.asp
http://backstage.musicchoice.com/songid/channels/opera.asp
etc...
Now, if I were a more eager hacker, I'd write up little WSDL stubs for
these event streams (they're clearly not worried about load, since their
own web pages specify 15 sec meta-refresh) and then feed 'em through a
content router to alert me to cool songs. Heck, cross-reference the
service to CDDB and... :-)
RK
| 0 |
Re: SF Weekly's Ultimate SF Date lineup :-)
Russell Turpin wrote:
>Invite her for an afternoon cruise under the Golden Gate bridge in
>your Stonehorse day sailor.
Sounds good.
>Under way, ask her if she'd like to take the stick.
Whoah! That's a rather direct approach!
R. A. Hettinga quoted:
>From: Somebody
>[...] what I did in 1983 was to rent a plane from the Moffett Field
>flying club and take her on an aerial tour
Sounds great.
>I can't recall whether or not I gave her any stick time.
Can't remember if he's in the mile-high club? Even worse!!!
R
| 0 |
Re: The Great Power-Shortage Myth
> The only circumstances in which a business will not be ready--indeed,
> eager--to do an additional volume of business is if it is physically unable
> to do so because it lacks the necessary physical means of doing so, or
> because the costs it incurs in doing so exceed the additional sales revenue
> it will receive.
That is a fully retarded view of economics, and pretty much the same kind
of clueless oversimplication that led to the blackouts. There are a
bazillion factors that affect game strategies, which is what the state of
California messed up and the energy producers exploited.
I'm not convinced that the only way to prevent future energy debacles like
the blackouts is to reregulate. Ultimately we have to blame the people
who crafted the game rules in a way that invited blackouts and
exploitation. Given that the particular set of rules crafted by the state
of California sucked, does there exist a set of rules that doesn't suck?
If there does exist a better set of rules, then reregulation isn't
necessarily the answer.
You can't blame businesses for being profit maximizers. Yes, the people
involved were heartless and corrupt. But mainly they just did their
jobs.
The guilty parties are either the mathematicians and economists who wrote
the rules or, if the mathematicians and economists said there were no good
rules, pro-deregulation politicians who went ahead anyway.
- Lucas
| 0 |
California needs intelligent energy deregulation
--- begin forwarded text
Date: Wed, 25 Sep 2002 13:57:15 -0400
To: Digital Bearer Settlement List <[email protected]>
From: "R. A. Hettinga" <[email protected]>
Subject: California needs intelligent energy deregulation
Sender: <[email protected]>
http://www.siliconvalley.com/mld/siliconvalley/4144696.htm?template=contentModules/printstory.jsp
Posted on Tue, Sep. 24, 2002
Dan Gillmor: State needs intelligent energy deregulation
By Dan Gillmor
Mercury News Technology Columnist
The facts were trade and government secrets at the time. But the energy
industry failed the smell test in 2000 and 2001 as it tried to justify
soaring wholesale electricity and natural-gas prices in California.
Now, as investigators and regulators unravel the reasons for a financial
and fiscal mess we'll be cleaning up for decades, we're learning what
everyone suspected. Market games helped engineer the price spikes.
The latest manipulation was highlighted in Monday's finding by a federal
administrative law judge, who said a dominant natural-gas company squeezed
supplies in order to squeeze customers. His ruling came a few days after
California's Public Utilities Commission reported that electricity
generators mysteriously failed to use available capacity during the crunch,
also driving up prices.
And don't forget the sleazy games by energy traders who gleefully worked
the system, in schemes best summed up by an Enron insider's boast in a
memorandum made public in May, that ``Enron gets paid for moving energy to
relieve congestion without actually moving any energy or relieving any
congestion.''
How much of this was illegal, as opposed to simply amoral, remains to be
seen. Unfortunately, California's response -- confusion, lawsuits and
policy tweaks -- hasn't been sufficient.
More unfortunately, even if the state suddenly did all the right things --
including a hard-nosed program designed to free ourselves from the gougers'
grips -- we would need a willing federal partner. But it's foolish to think
that the Bush administration would do much to help one of its least
favorite states, or do anything that conflicts with its love of
traditional, non-renewable energy sources.
If the lawsuits against various energy companies and traders bear any
fruit, the best we can expect is to pay off some of the massive debts the
state amassed to prevent a total collapse in early 2001. That's a
reasonable approach, but don't expect miracles.
State policies are moving the wrong way on utility regulation, meanwhile.
Instead of relentlessly pursuing smart deregulation -- still a good idea if
it gives customers genuine choices -- state laws and regulations ``put the
utilities back in the business of buying energy for captive customers,''
notes V. John White, executive director of the Sacramento-based Center for
Energy Efficiency and Renewable Technologies (www.ceert.org).
It's tempting to call for an outright state takeover of the utilities --
tempting but a bad idea. When there's genuine competition, as we could
achieve in electricity generation, the private sector tends to do a better
job. Instead of abandoning deregulation, California should find a way to
inject real competition into the market.
We do need to recognize that the current system of delivering electricity
defies privatization, at least under current conditions. Smart regulation
is essential.
But the best response to gouging is to use less of what the gougers
control. There are two ways: conservation and replacement. We need more of
both.
The best recent step is a new state law that slowly but surely ratchets up
the use of electricity from renewables. By 2017, California's utilities
will have to get 20 percent of their power from solar and other renewable
sources. Several power companies are expected to do this even sooner.
But this law has an element of old-line thinking, the captive-customer
model we need to be getting away from, not sustaining. Lip service to newer
ideas isn't enough.
The state should be removing barriers to micro-generation systems, small
generators that can run on a variety of fuels and provide decentralized,
harder-to-disrupt electricity to homes and businesses. This technology is
coming along fast. State policies are not keeping pace.
Investing to save energy is increasingly the smartest move of all.
California should be doing more to encourage this, whether through tax
incentives or outright grants in low-income households. California hasn't
done badly on conservation in a general sense, and energy customers did
react to last year's soaring rates and blackouts by cutting back, but it's
lunacy to wait for the next crisis when we can do something to avoid it
altogether.
Maybe this is all pointless. The Bush administration's energy policies, so
grossly tilted toward the unholy trinity of oil, coal and nuclear, are
making us all more vulnerable. Never mind what might happen if the coming
war in Iraq goes badly.
It's pointless to hope for a sane federal policy -- a crash program to
drastically speed the inevitable transition to a hydrogen-based energy
system. But the largest state, one of the world's major economies in its
own right, does have some clout. We can hit the rip-off artists where it
hurts, and protect ourselves from even more serious disruptions. Maybe next
year.
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
--- end forwarded text
--
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [email protected]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'
| 0 |
RE: CO2 and climate (was RE: Goodbye Global Warming)
OK, let's bring some data into the discussion:
http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/02.htm
(A graph, derived from Vostok ice core samples, of CO2 and temperature
fluctuations over the past 400k years).
> Recent high-resolution studies of historical CO2 concentrations and
> temperatures over hundreds of thousands of years have shown a modest
> correlation between the two. In a number of cases, CO2 level increases
> are not in phase with temperature increases and actually trail the
> increase in temperature by a short time i.e. increases in temperature
> preceded increases in CO2 concentrations. The more studies that are done
> of the geological record, the more it seems that CO2 concentrations are
> correlated with temperature increases, but are not significantly
> causative.
Based on the Vostok data, you are right, there is a very strong correlation
between temperature and CO2 concentrations, but it doesn't always appear to
be causal.
> With respect to absolute CO2 concentrations, it is also important to
> point out that our best data to date suggests that they follow a fairly
> regular cycle with a period of about 100,000 years.
Also correct -- the peak of each cycle is at about 290-300 ppm CO2.
> As it
> happens, current CO2 concentrations are within 10% of other previous
> cyclical concentration peaks for which we have good data.
Not correct. Mauna Loa data <http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/06.htm> and
<http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/ndp001/maunaloa.co2> show that the current CO2
concentrations are at 370ppm, 18% *greater* than the *highest* recorded
value from the past 400k years. Furthermore, CO2 concentrations are growing
at 15ppm every 10 years, much faster than any recorded increase in the
Vostok data (though perhaps the Vostok data isn't capable of such fine
resolution).
> In other words, we may be adding to the CO2 levels,
No, we are *definitely* adding to CO2 levels. Look at the following chart:
http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/07.htm
(Shows CO2 concentrations since 1870, the "historical record").
Not only is the CO2 increase over 130 years unprecedented in the Vostok
record, it is clear that the rate of change is *increasing*, not decreasing.
There is no other compelling explanation for this increase, except for
anthropogenic input. You're really out on the fringe if you're debating
this -- even global warming skeptics generally concede this point.
> but it looks a lot like we
> would be building a molehill on top of a mountain in the historical
> record. At the very least, there is nothing anomalous about current CO2
> concentrations.
Wrong again. Current CO2 levels are currently unprecedented over the past
400k years, unless there is some mechanism that allows CO2 levels to quickly
spike, and then return back to "normal" background levels (and hence the
spike might not show up in the ice cores).
Still, by around 2075-2100 we will have reached 500 ppm CO2, a level that
even you would have a hard time arguing away.
> Also, CO2 levels interact with the biosphere in a manner that ultimately
> affects temperature. Again, the interaction is not entirely
> predictable, but this is believed to be one of the regulating negative
> feedback systems mentioned above.
Yes, clouds and oceans are a big unknown. Still, we know ocean water has a
finite capacity to store CO2, and if the world temperature doesn't increase,
but we all have Seattle-like weather all the time, the effects would be
enormous.
> Last, as greenhouse gases go, CO2 isn't particularly potent, although it
> makes up for it in volume in some cases. Gases such as water and
> methane have a far greater impact as greenhouse gases on a per molecule
> basis. Water vapor may actually be the key greenhouse gas, something
> that CO2 only indirectly effects through its interaction with the
> biosphere.
Correct.
Data on relative contributions of greenhouse gasses:
http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/05.htm
Note that methane concentrations now are *much* higher than pre-industrial
levels (many cows farting, and rice paddies outgassing), and methane is also
a contributor in the formation of atmospheric water vapor. Another clearly
anthropogenic increase in a greenhouse gas. I'm in favor of reductions in
methane levels as well.
Data on water vapor here:
http://www.agu.org/sci_soc/mockler.html
> CO2 was an easy mark for early environmentalism, but all the recent
> studies and data I've seen gives me the impression that it is largely a
> passenger on the climate ride rather than the driver.
I tend to think that holistic, and techical approaches would work best in
reducing global warming. I favor an energy policy that has a mix of solar,
wind and nuclear, with all carbon-based combustion using renewable sources
of C-H bonds. Aggressive pursuit of carbon sink strategies also makes sense
(burying trees deep underground, for example). Approaches that involve
reductions in lifestyle to a "sustainable" level are unrealistic --
Americans just won't do it (you'd be surprised at the number of climate
change researchers driving SUVs). But, as California showed during last
year's energy crisis, shifts in patterns of consumption are possible, and
improved efficiency is an easy sell.
- Jim
| 0 |
Kissinger
[can't think of how I'd be running
afoul of the spam filters with this
post, so here's the second try...]
Kissinger's book _Does America Need
a Foreign Policy?_ provides a few
handy abstractions:
> The ultimate dilemma of the statesman is to strike a balance between
> values ["idealism"] and interests ["realism"] and, occasionally,
> between peace and justice.
Also, he views historical American
approaches to foreign policy as a
bundle of three fibers:
Hamiltonian - We should only get
involved in foreign adventures
to preserve balances of power.
Wilsonian - We should only get
involved in foreign adventures
to further democracy, etc.
Jacksonian - We should never get
involved in foreign adventures.
Unless we're attacked. Then we
go Rambo.
He has tactfully left out the hard
realists*; as for the rest I gather
wilsonians play the idealists, and
hamiltonians act where values and
interests intersect, and jacksonians
act only when values and interests
overlap.
Kissinger himself seems to be a
Hamiltonian; much of the book is
about how he thinks we ought to
be shaping the balance of power
in various foreign regions.
Maybe I've been too affected by
Kant, but I can't see that such
a strategy works unless one can
count on a Bismarck runnning it:
how lopsided does the US look if
everyone tries to run a balance
of power politics?
- -Dave
*
> The road to empire leads to domestic decay because, in time, the claims
> of omnipotence erode domestic restraints. No empire has avoided the
> road to Caesarism unless, like the British Empire, it devolved its
> power before this process could develop. In long-lasting empires,
> every problem turns into a domestic issue [which should be handled
> very differently from international ones] because the outside world
> no longer provides a counterweight. And as challenges grow more
> diffuse and increasingly remote from the historic domestic base,
> internal struggles become ever more bitter and in time violent.
> A deliberate quest for hegemony is the surest way to destroy the
> values that made the United States great.
Kings and tyrants generically have
followed the same power politics:
garner popular support by keeping
potential oligarchs down. In other
traditions, a king is a legitimate
tyrant, and a tyrant an illegitimate
king. In the US, I'd hope that we,
like Samuel, wouldn't naturally make
such fine distinctions.
| 0 |
Re: Digital radio playlists are prohibited?!
--]
--] Anyone heard of this law before?
Back when I was running the WSMF shoutcast server these restrictions were
just being placed on netcasters. Most folks laughed it off. Now with the
license fees its not laughable anymore. If you pay the fee you are bound
to the restrictions, if you dont your running the criminal line.
I still run a stream up on live365. Its been playing the same 10 hour
block of Jean Shepard shows for the last year. I really should change them
up.
If I were going to do the old WSMF shoutcast now adays I would either
spend lots of time going over regulations to see what I can or cannot do
or I would just chuck the regs out and do what I want. Or I might write
some apps to stay in regs ..I dont know..one thing is for sure it
defiently takes the spontaneous edge off things:)-
F Murray Abraham
F Scott Fitzgerald
F Hillary Rossen
-tom
| 0 |
Re: The Great Power-Shortage Myth
On Wed, 25 Sep 2002, Gordon Mohr wrote:
> In contrast, take a look at this article by Simon J. Wilkie of
> Caltech:
Wow, that Wilkie article is the single best explanation I've seen.
The open question is whether any analysis before the fact warned the
politicians, or whether the politicians were forewarned and went ahead.
What did they know and when did they know it?
| 0 |
Re: Digital radio playlists are prohibited?!
On Wed, 2002-09-25 at 13:34, [email protected] wrote:
>
> This, kiddies was apparently the legislative beginnings of the whole
> streaming audio-gets-spanked-by-fees ruling that came down in the
> earlier parts of this year. This first act applied to non-exempt,
> non-subscription transmission services. When Congress got around in
> 1998 and realized that webcasting services -might- be different
> (though I honestly can't see how) they wrote in the provision through
> the DMCA to include such transmissions.
The restrictive law regarding audio is actually the accumulated cruft of
30 years of various legislative acts. The totality of what we have now
come from various parts of all the following re: sound recordings:
1998 - DMCA
1995 - Digital Performance Right in Sound Recordings Act
1992 - Audio Home Recording Act
1976 - Copyright Act amendment
1972 - Copyright Act amendment
It is worth noting that many people have forgotten about the 1976
Copyright Act Amendment which created the foundational law stating that
the copyright owners have the right to limit personal use of audio
recordings after First Sale even if you are not "making copies" in any
commercial sense. Sound recordings, for many intents and purposes, are
explicitly excluded from Fair Use by the 1976 amendment.
-James Rogers
[email protected]
| 0 |
dumb question: X client behind a firewall?
Let's say you're behind a firewall and have a NAT address.
Is there any way to telnet to a linux box out there in the world
and set your DISPLAY in some way that you can create
xterms on your own screen?
- Joe
--
That girl became the spring wind
She flew somewhere, far away
Undoing her hair, lying down, in her sleep
She becomes the wind.
| 0 |
"Free" Elvis Costello CD a trojan horse for DRM malware
A friend in Dublin is mailing me the CD which was in the UK Sunday
Times. I've just been advised that running it in a Win32 machine is
dangerous as all get out.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/4/27232.html
-- whump
----
Bill Humphries <[email protected]>
http://www.whump.com/moreLikeThis/
| 0 |
Re: dumb question: X client behind a firewall?
"Joseph S. Barrera III" <[email protected]> writes:
> Let's say you're behind a firewall and have a NAT address.
> Is there any way to telnet to a linux box out there in the world
> and set your DISPLAY in some way that you can create
> xterms on your own screen?
Assuming your local display is X, SSH.
--
Karl Anderson [email protected] http://www.monkey.org/~kra/
| 0 |
Re: dumb question: X client behind a firewall?
Wow, three replies already, all recommending ssh. Thanks!
- Joe
Back in my day, they didn't have ssh. Then again, back in my day,
they didn't have firewalls. And I still miss X10's active icons.
| 0 |
Re: Digital radio playlists are prohibited?!
> Subject: Re: Digital radio playlists are prohibited?!
> From: James Rogers <[email protected]>
> To: [email protected]
> Date: 25 Sep 2002 12:52:15 -0700
>
> On Wed, 2002-09-25 at 01:19, Rohit Khare wrote:
> > Anyone heard of this law before?
>
>
> Absolutely. More accurately, it is part of the RIAAs "regulation" for
> broadcasting music under their auspices. This is actually part of the
> default statutory license the RIAA is compelled to issue. You can try
> and establish your own contract with each of the individual publishers
> in addition to the writers, but that is a Herculean undertaking in its
> own right. The details are really gross and complicated.
Perhaps the stations cannot publish digital playlists, but you can get
them from www.starcd.com anyway. They use some sort of
listening and recognition technology to identify the music played
on over 1000 US radio stations.
Jeff;
| 0 |
Re: dumb question: X client behind a firewall?
On Wed, 25 Sep 2002, Joseph S. Barrera III wrote:
> Let's say you're behind a firewall and have a NAT address.
> Is there any way to telnet to a linux box out there in the world
> and set your DISPLAY in some way that you can create
> xterms on your own screen?
As other people suggested: SSH. PuTTY
http://www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~sgtatham/putty/download.html
can do it. Can run, say xclock (I'm running an X server under W32 at work,
tunneling through a NAT box), but from Linux, not from Solaris. Probably
OpenSSH misconfigurat5ion.
| 0 |
Native American economics (was Re: sed /s/United States/Roman
I wanted to get back to this but didn't have the time. I actually lived on
a couple different Indian reservations growing up in the Pacific Northwest
and also spent a fair amount time in Lakota/Sioux country as well. And my
parents have lived on an even more diverse range of Indian reservations than
I have (my experience being a direct result of living with my parents). I
do get a lot of my information first-hand, or in some cases, second-hand
from my father.
The income figures for the Indians are somewhat misleading, mostly because
it is really hard to do proper accounting of the effective income. While it
is true that some Indians live in genuine poverty, it is typically as a
consequence of previous poor decisions that were made by the tribe, not
something that was impressed upon them.
The primary problem with the accounting is that there is a tribal entity
that exists separately from the individuals, typically an "Indian
Corporation" of one type or another where each member of the tribe owns a
single share (the details of when and how a share becomes active varies from
tribe to tribe). In most tribes, a dividend is paid out to each of the
tribal members from the corporation, usually to the tune of $10-30k per
person, depending on the tribe. The dividend money comes from a number of
places, with the primary sources being the Federal Gov't and various
businesses/assets owned by the Indian corporation.
You have to understand a couple things: First, a great many Indian tribes
are run as purely communist enterprises. Everyone gets a check for their
share no matter what. One of the biggest problems this has caused is very
high unemployment (often 70-90%) for tribal members, who are more than happy
take their dividend and not work. The dividend they receive from the
corporation often constitutes their sole "income" for government accounting
purposes. Unfortunately, to support this type of economics when no one
works, they've had to sell off most of their useful assets to maintain those
dividends. Many of the tribes genuinely living in poverty do so because
they have run out of things to sell yet nobody works. One of the ironies is
that on many of the reservations where the tribes still have assets to burn,
many of the people working in the stores and such are actually poor white
folk, not Indians.
Second, even though the tribe members each get a cash dividend, they also
receive an enormous range of benefits and perks from the Indian corporation
to the tune of tens of thousands of dollars per person annually. By
benefits and perks, we are talking about the kinds of things no other
ordinary American receives from either their employer or the government.
It should be pointed out that while many of these Indian corporations are
ineptly run, and mostly provide sinecures for other Indians, a minority are
very smartly managed and a few hire non-Indian business executives with good
credentials to run their business divisions. An example of this is the
Haida Corporation, which while having less 1,000 tribal shareholders, has
billions of dollars in assets and the various corporations they own have
gross revenues in the $200-300 million range (and growing). Yet the
dividend paid out is strictly controlled, about $20k in this particular
case, and they engaged in a practice of waiting a couple decades before
drawing money from any of the assets they were granted which has led to
intelligent investment and use. They don't eat their seed corn, and have
actually managed to grow their stash. In contrast, a couple islands over,
there is another tribe of ~2,000 people that has a net loss of about $50
million annually IIRC while being regularly endowed by the Federal
government with several billions of dollars in valuable assets. This
particular tribe has a modest income in theory, but the actual expenditures
per person annually is in the hundreds of thousands of dollars, and many
borrow money against future income. Incidentally, in this particular case,
the people that ARE working frequently pull in a few hundred thousand
dollars a year, much of which goes back to the tribal corporation rather
than their own pockets.
Somewhat annoying, the Federal government semi-regularly grants valuable
assets to these tribes when they've burned through the ones previously given
where feasible, typically selling the assets to American or foreign
companies. And the cycle continues.
So what is the primary problem for the tribes that have problems? In a
nutshell, a thoroughly pathological culture and society.
Few women reach the age of 16 without getting pregnant. Incest, rape, and
gross promiscuity is rampant. Inbreeding, heavy drug abuse during
pregnancy, and other environmental factors have created tribes where a very
substantial fraction of the tribe is literally mentally retarded. Many of
the thoughtful and intelligent tribe members leave the reservation at the
earliest opportunity, mostly to avoid the problems mentioned above. On one
reservation my parents lived, the HIV infection rate was >70%. Many of
these societies are thoroughly corrupt, and the administration of the law is
arbitrary and capricious (they do have their own judges, courts, police
etc).
In short, many of these tribes that are still hanging together are in a
shambles because they have become THE most pathological societies that I
have ever seen anywhere. Because of their legal status, there really aren't
that many consequences for their behavior. There are many things that I
could tell you that I've seen that you probably would not believe unless
you'd seen it yourself. There are always good people in these tribes, but
it has gotten to the point where the losers and idiots outnumber the good
guys by a fair margin many times, and this IS a mobocracy typically. (BTW,
if any of you white folk wants to experience overt and aggressive racism as
a minority in a place where the rule of law is fiction and the police are
openly thugs, try living on one of these messed up Indian reservations. It
will give you an interesting perspective on things.)
There are only two real situations where you find reasonably prosperous
Indians. The first is in the rare case of tribes run by disciplined and
intelligent people that have managed their assets wisely. The second is
where the tribe has dispersed and assimilated for the most part, even if
they maintain their tribal identity. In both of these cases, the tribal
leaders reject the insular behavior that tends to lead to the pathological
cases mentioned above.
The Indians are often quite wealthy technically, and a lot of money is spent
by the tribe per capita. And the actual reportable income is quite high
when you consider how many are living entirely off the tribal dole. It is
just that their peculiar economic structure does not lend itself well to
ordinary economic analysis by merely looking at their nominal income. The
poverty is social and cultural in nature, not economic. This was my
original point.
On a tangent:
One thing that has always interested me is the concept of quasi-tribal
corporate socialism. Many Indian tribes implement a type of corporate
socialism that is mind-bogglingly bad in execution. That they use this
structure at all is an accident of history more than anything. But what has
interested me is that the very smartly managed ones do surprisingly well
over the long run. It is like a Family Corporation writ large.
It seems that in a future where "familial" ties will be increasingly
voluntary, the general concept may have some merit in general Western
society, serving to create a facsimile of a biological extended family with
the included dynamics, but with an arbitrary set of self-selecting
individuals.
Damn that was long (and its late), and it could have been a lot longer.
-James Rogers
[email protected]
On 9/22/02 3:53 PM, "John Hall" <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> As I understand it, there is a huge difference between native Americans
> who speak english at home and those who do not. I don't have figures
> that separate those at hand, though.
>
> 1989 American Indians (US Pop as a whole) -- Families below poverty
> 27.2% (10%), Persons below poverty 31.2 (13.1), Speak a language other
> than English 23 (13.8) Married couple families 65.8 (79.5) Median family
> income $21,619 ($35,225) Per Capita $8,284 ($14,420).
| 0 |
RE: Liberalism in America
In essence, hindsight justification. The progressives weren't in the
middle, they were in a society at one end and they wanted a society at
the other end. The middle is more or less where they got stopped.
As to an intervention that worked, I actually have some nice things to
say about the SEC, at least in theory. I have a few nasty things to say
as well, but on the whole it has been a very good thing.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Geege
> Schuman
> Sent: Tuesday, September 24, 2002 6:37 PM
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: Liberalism in America
>
> liberalism
> propagandized as meddling
> in truth, the middle
>
> "American liberalism believes that in this respect it has made a major
> contribution to the grand strategy of freedom. Where both capitalists
and
> socialists in the 1930's were trying to narrow the choice to either/or
--
> either laissez-faire capitalism or bureaucratic socialism -- the New
Deal
> persisted in its vigorous faith that human intelligence and social
> experiment could work out a stable foundation for freedom in a context
of
> security and for security in a context of freedom. That faith remains
the
> best hope of free society today."
>
> fluid yet crunchy,
> gg
>
>
>
>
> http://www.english.upenn.edu/~afilreis/50s/schleslib.html
| 0 |
Re: OSCOM Berkeley report: Xopus, Bitflux, Plone, Xoops
On Friday, September 27, 2002, at 11:17 AM, Jim Whitehead wrote:
> I attended the OSCOM Open Source Content Management workshop at
> Berkeley
> yesterday.
I really wanted to go to this, especially to look at XOPUS.
Unfortunately, we're launching a new intranet at work next week and I
couldn't get away. XOPUS + an XML native DB such as Xindice looks like
something that could hit a home run.
-- whump
"I have a theory, it could be bunnies."
| 0 |
RE: The Big Jump
Adjournment of Michel Fournier's big Jump in May, 2003.
Two attempts of launch failed : the first because of the wind which got up
prematurely and the second due to a technical hitch during the inflating of
the envelope.
The team of the Big Jump, folds luggage, having waited up to the end for an
opportunity for the launch of the balloon stratosph�rique allowing to raise
the
capsule pressurized by Michel Fournier at more than 40 000 metres in height.
As expected, in the date of September 20, the jets stream strengthened in
300 kph announcing the imminent arrival of the winter and closing until next
May the meteorological window favorable to a human raid in the stratosphere.
On the plains of Saskatchewan, the first snows are waited in the days which
come.Meeting in all in May, 2003.
> Today a French officer called Michel Fournier is supposed to get in a
> 350-metre tall helium balloon, ride it up to the edge of space (40 km
> altitude) and jump out. His fall should last 6.5 minutes and reach
> speeds of Mach 1.5. He hopes to open his parachute manually at the
> end, although with an automatic backup if he is 7 seconds from the
> ground and still hasn't opened it.
>
> R
>
> ObQuote:
> "Veder�, si aver� si grossi li coglioni, come ha il re di Franza."
> ("Let's see if I've got as much balls as the King of France!")
> - Pope Julius II, 2 January 1511
| 0 |
RE: OSCOM Berkeley report: Xopus, Bitflux, Plone, Xoops
I attended the same conference, and was impressed by a few systems that
Jim didn't mention. In terms of CMS, the following all had apparently
been used in some fairly large implementations and looked like some
pretty strong competition to commercial systems:
- Midgard, http://www.midgard-project.org/ , a PHP-based content
management framework that with other programs combines to be a full CMS
- Redhat CCM CMS, Java-based: http://www.spamassassin.taint.org/software/ccm/cms/
- OpenCMS, Java-based: http://www.opencms.org
There was agreement that usability has not generally been an open source
strength, but both Plone and Xopus represented some real movement
towards improving that situation.
I was impressed by the spectrum of perspectives on XML. Some took for
granted that XSLT was relevant to content management, others took it
just as for granted that XSLT was irrelevant and seemed happy to ignore
XML almost completely.
I attended realizing that "content management" is generally used to
apply to *Web* content management, but I was still a bit shocked how
completely out of scope document management was (almost no consideration
of the potential print/PDF dimension to content other than the
occasional "...and you can use FOP to make PDF" as if that was
functional): this seems more the case in open source content management
than in commercial content management, and probably makes XML easier to
ignore (if HTML is the be-all and end-all of the output...).
The honesty was refreshing, Phil Suh complained about the state of
current tools (both open source and commercial), and I wish I'd written
down what he said, something like "it sucks so extremely, it sucks so
widely, and it is so generally sucking, that it seems sometimes there is
no hope." For a moment there was contemplation that perhaps commercial
systems scaled so well that the commercial "big boys" were really much
more functional than open source, until someone pointed out, "OK, take
some average blog software, spend $500,000 on the rollout... it'll scale
pretty well." Another quote (citing Brendan Quinn): "content management
problems are either trivial or impossible."
Mac OS X is getting popular, of the laptops there it was an even 1/3
each of Mac, Linux, Windows.
I am sure it wasn't news to Jim, but I can't wait to try Subversion, a
CVS replacement that supports some of the newer features of WebDAV:
http://subversion.tigris.org/
I'm also eager to try Xopus, I hope the developers make it back home
safely, they said they'd only been in America four days but were already
homeless...
Max
| 0 |
EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
What's wrong with doing business over the Web? Web forms. There's
promising replacements forms, but this is the current state of the
industry:
o You find something that you want to fill out. It's a partnership form,
a signup for a Web seminar, a request for more information, anything.
o You start wasting time typing in all those stupid fields and spend
about 10 minutes going through all their stupid qualification hoops
just to get a small piece of information , whitepaper, or a callback
when halfway through, you start to wonder if it's really worth your
time to forever be stuck on their stupid prospect list.
o Pull down tags are never put in order of use instead of alphabetized.
I was on a site just now that had every single country in the world
listed; the selection of your country was absolutely critical for you
to hit submit, but due to the layout, the "more>" tag on the second
row was offscreen so it was impossible to select any country except
about two dozen third world countries.
o Even worse, ever time you hit submit, all forms based things complain
about using the universal country phone number format and will cause
you to re-enter dashes instead of dots.
o When you get something that's not entered right, you will go back and
enter it right, but then some other field or most likely pulldown will
automatically get reset to the default value so that you will have to
go back and resent that freaking thing too. Finally after all combinations
of all pulldowns, you may get a successful submit.
o You wait freaking forever just to get a confirmation.
o Sometimes, like today, you won't be able to ever submit anything due
to it being impossible to ever submit a valid set of information that
is internally non-conflicting according to whatever fhead wrote their
forms submission.
What's wrong with this picture? The company is screwing you by wasting
your time enforcing their data collection standards on you. I'm sure there's
someone in that company that would be willing to accept "US", "U.S", "USA"
"United States", "U of A", "America", etc. and would know exactly which
freaking country the interested party was from instead of forcing them
to waste even more time playing Web form geography.
I'm starting to see the light of Passport. You want more information? Hit
this passport button. Voila. IE6 and Netscape 6,7 have pre-forms sutff,
but I always turn it off because you never know when there's that one field
that you don't want to submit to the person you are submitting to that
automatically gets sent, i.e. the privacy stuff is well beyond the
average user who will get screwed on privacy stuff.
So, if crappy forms-based submission is the state of practice for
business enablement on the Web, I can't see this whole data submission
and hurry up and wait for us to get back to you business process as
working all that well.
Greg
| 0 |
Re: EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
I'll agree that webforms are a pain in the ass, however it would seem to
me that the problem with passport is the same one you noted with the
autoform function, providing more info than you want to. That and some
entity would be holding the passport info, thus have all that data in the
first place.
Personally i'd never trust them not to at least use it internally to
market to me, if not sell/rent out. Just think of the ability
they'd have to build a profile for you since everything you went to was
tracked to you. And thats just the marketing side of it.
Chris
On Sat, 28 Sep 2002, Gregory Alan Bolcer wrote:
> What's wrong with doing business over the Web? Web forms. There's
> promising replacements forms, but this is the current state of the
> industry:
>
> o You find something that you want to fill out. It's a partnership form,
> a signup for a Web seminar, a request for more information, anything.
> o You start wasting time typing in all those stupid fields and spend
> about 10 minutes going through all their stupid qualification hoops
> just to get a small piece of information , whitepaper, or a callback
> when halfway through, you start to wonder if it's really worth your
> time to forever be stuck on their stupid prospect list.
> o Pull down tags are never put in order of use instead of alphabetized.
> I was on a site just now that had every single country in the world
> listed; the selection of your country was absolutely critical for you
> to hit submit, but due to the layout, the "more>" tag on the second
> row was offscreen so it was impossible to select any country except
> about two dozen third world countries.
> o Even worse, ever time you hit submit, all forms based things complain
> about using the universal country phone number format and will cause
> you to re-enter dashes instead of dots.
> o When you get something that's not entered right, you will go back and
> enter it right, but then some other field or most likely pulldown will
> automatically get reset to the default value so that you will have to
> go back and resent that freaking thing too. Finally after all combinations
> of all pulldowns, you may get a successful submit.
> o You wait freaking forever just to get a confirmation.
> o Sometimes, like today, you won't be able to ever submit anything due
> to it being impossible to ever submit a valid set of information that
> is internally non-conflicting according to whatever fhead wrote their
> forms submission.
>
> What's wrong with this picture? The company is screwing you by wasting
> your time enforcing their data collection standards on you. I'm sure there's
> someone in that company that would be willing to accept "US", "U.S", "USA"
> "United States", "U of A", "America", etc. and would know exactly which
> freaking country the interested party was from instead of forcing them
> to waste even more time playing Web form geography.
>
> I'm starting to see the light of Passport. You want more information? Hit
> this passport button. Voila. IE6 and Netscape 6,7 have pre-forms sutff,
> but I always turn it off because you never know when there's that one field
> that you don't want to submit to the person you are submitting to that
> automatically gets sent, i.e. the privacy stuff is well beyond the
> average user who will get screwed on privacy stuff.
>
> So, if crappy forms-based submission is the state of practice for
> business enablement on the Web, I can't see this whole data submission
> and hurry up and wait for us to get back to you business process as
> working all that well.
>
>
> Greg
>
| 0 |
Re: EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
>>>>> "G" == Gregory Alan Bolcer <[email protected]> writes:
G> So, if crappy forms-based submission is the state of practice
G> for business enablement on the Web, I can't see this whole data
G> submission and hurry up and wait for us to get back to you
G> business process as working all that well.
I love this business. If a bridge falls over, the architect or the
engineer is in court the next day, but when a /software/ bridge falls
over, we blame the air beneath it, or the phase of the moon, or
(more often) the people walking on it.
"What idiots! Don't they know you're supposed to walk on the
/balls/ of your feet, not lead with your heels? Didn't they read
the blueprints? They were posted in the town hall. Any idiot
would know the 0.75Hz heel cadence would pop rivets on the
structural supports! Geez. Pedestrians are /so/ stupid."
Ours is the /only/ industry that can hold itself 100% un-responsible
for any and all sloth-inflicted doom, and the only industry which can
/also/ get away with feeding this myth of infallibility unquestioned
to the media, to investors, to students and to each other.
"God I hate telephones. Telephones are stupid. I used a telephone
to, like, call my broker yesterday, and y'know, just /after/ I'd
ordered those 2000 shares of Nortel ..."
You just gotta love a mass-delusion like that.
Although it's like a total shock to 99.999% (5nines) of all the
employed website designers out there, the truth is webforms /can/
accept "U.S. of A" as a country. Incredible, but true. Web forms can
also accept /multiple/ or even /free-form/ telephone numbers and can
even be partitioned into manageable steps. All this can also be done
without selling exclusive rights to your wallet to the World's
Second-Richest Corporation (assuming Cisco is still #1) and vendor
locking your business into their "small transaction fee" tithe.
Of course, try and tell one of those 5-niners that and they'll get all
defensive, black list you as a sh*t disturber and undermine your
reputation with the boss... not that I'm speaking first-hand or
anything ;)
--
Gary Lawrence Murphy - [email protected] - TeleDynamics Communications
- blog: http://www.auracom.com/~teledyn - biz: http://teledyn.com/ -
"Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." (Picasso)
| 0 |
Re: EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
On Saturday, September 28, 2002, at 12:54 PM, Gary Lawrence Murphy
wrote:
> Although it's like a total shock to 99.999% (5nines) of all the
> employed website designers out there, the truth is webforms /can/
> accept "U.S. of A" as a country. Incredible, but true. Web forms can
> also accept /multiple/ or even /free-form/ telephone numbers and can
> even be partitioned into manageable steps. All this can also be done
> without selling exclusive rights to your wallet to the World's
> Second-Richest Corporation (assuming Cisco is still #1) and vendor
> locking your business into their "small transaction fee" tithe.
Yes, but this is what normally happened:
Engineer: we can put an input validator/parser on the backend to do
that.
Designer: there's a JavaScript library that can do some of the
pre-validation.
Creative Director: I want it in blue, with a zooming logo.
Engineer: can we get to that later, we need to meet functional specs.
Creative Director: You *don't* understand. *I* want it in blue.
Creative Director: Oh, and the site launches this Friday because I sent
out a press release about our new strategic partnership with HypeCorp.
Designer: fine, we'll just put a list of countries in a drop down.
Engineer: and we can validate against that list.
Creative Director: I don't give a shit. As long as it's in blue. And
has a link to my press release.
----
Bill Humphries <[email protected]>
http://www.whump.com/moreLikeThis/
| 0 |
Re: EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
At 08:18 AM 9/28/02 -0700, Gregory Alan Bolcer wrote:
>IE6 and Netscape 6,7 have pre-forms sutff,
>but I always turn it off because you never know when there's that one field
>that you don't want to submit to the person you are submitting to that
>automatically gets sent, i.e. the privacy stuff is well beyond the
>average user who will get screwed on privacy stuff.
Opera 6 has an interesting way around this. You just right-click on each
field and bring up a choice of prefilled local information that you can
then choose to enter into the form.
Now if they can just fix the $@!$@$# irritating memory problems that Opera6
has....Hakon, you listening?
Udhay
--
((Udhay Shankar N)) ((udhay @ pobox.com)) ((www.digeratus.com))
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Re: EBusiness Webforms: cluetrain has left the station
>>>>> "B" == Bill Humphries <[email protected]> writes:
B> Yes, but this is what normally happened:
B> Engineer: we can put ...
B> Designer: there's a ...
B> Creative Director: I want it in blue ...
Yup, seen it happen oodles of times, only all three of those folks
are one and the same person. The fourth is the business manager
who says "whatever, so long as you do it on your own time"
--
Gary Lawrence Murphy - [email protected] - TeleDynamics Communications
- blog: http://www.auracom.com/~teledyn - biz: http://teledyn.com/ -
"Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." (Picasso)
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Content management for MP3s
Dear flatware,
I'm about to undertake a massive project to index/catalog well over one
thousand CDs that have been ripped to MP3 and set up a server to stream
them to different rooms in the house. (Yes, I own them all, no I'm not
broadcasting them to the 'net.) Can anyone give me some recommendations
as to what (free? opensource?) software is best suited for this task? I
know there are a few FoRKs out there who have tackled this problem before...
I'd like to be able to dynamically generate play lists from queries like
"Jazz released between 1950 and 1960" or "Artist such and such between
these dates" or "Just these artists" or "Just this genre" - you get the
idea. In addition to having multiple streams that I can tune in to (a la
DMX), I'd like to be able to browse the database through a web interface
from other computers in the house and pull specific music down to
wherever I am.
Thanks,
Elias
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